Wednesday, January 10, 2018

FW: [Maybank] MYR – Is It Correcting Towards its Fair Value?

 

 

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GBL: MYR – Is It Correcting Towards its Fair Value?

FX Insight
by Saktiandi Supaat

FX Research

We believe there is room for MYR to extend its gains. In fact we see this episode as a correction towards its fundamental value. Based on BIS data, the current level of MYR REER is about 7.6% undervalued relative to its 10-year average. On z-score basis, MYR REER is about 1.3 standard deviation below its 10-year mean and remains "relatively cheap" amongst AXJs. While momentum is bearish, technicals are flagging the risk of technical rebound in USDMYR, possibly towards 4.03, 4.05 in the near term

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