Published on 20 October 2016
RAM
Ratings has reaffirmed the AA3/Stable rating of Besraya (M) Sdn Bhd’s (the
Company) RM700 million Sukuk
Mudharabah Issuance Facility (2011/2028). Besraya is the toll
concessionaire for the 16.6-km Sungai Besi Highway (SBH) and the 12.3-km
Besraya Eastern Extension (BEE). The rating reflects the SBH’s strong traffic
profile underpinned by its strategic alignment through populated townships and
industrial areas, which supports the Company’s sturdy debt-servicing
capability.
Overall,
total average daily traffic (ADT) cumulatively at both the Loke Yew and Mines
plazas exceeded our expectations, growing a robust 8.7% y-o-y to 147,034
vehicles in fiscal 2016. This was due to the impressive 32.2% y-o-y ADT growth
at the Loke Yew plaza, attributable to the BEE’s connectivity. Growth at the
Loke Yew plaza was more than offset the slight 1% y-o-y decline at the Mines
toll plaza due to the toll-rate hike (excluding buses) in October 2015. Moving
ahead, we expect traffic growth at the Mines plaza to gradually recover to
pre-rate hike levels.
Our
sensitised cashflow projections indicate that Besraya’s FSCR (with cash
balances, post-distribution) will remain intact, averaging 2.70 times
throughout the remaining tenure of the Sukuk. However, in fiscal 2019, the FSCR
(with cash balances) is expected to dip below 2 times – a one-off event– owing
to the proposed upgrading work at the Kuchai interchange of the SBH. The
upgrading work will be internally funded at a fixed cost of RM60 million over
the next 3 fiscal years, with the elevated capex leaving no headroom for
dividend distribution between fiscal 2017 and 2020. Distributions to
shareholders (if any) would have to be supported by outperformance of our
sensitised traffic and cashflow projection.
As with
other toll-road projects, Besraya is inherently exposed to regulatory and
single-project risks.
Analytical
contact Media
contact
Ong Ju Laine Padthma Subbiah
(603) 7628 1183 (603) 7628 1162
julaine@ram.com.my padthma@ram.com.my
Ong Ju Laine Padthma Subbiah
(603) 7628 1183 (603) 7628 1162
julaine@ram.com.my padthma@ram.com.my
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