Monday, September 22, 2014

Regional Daily, Maybank KE (2014-09-22)


Daily
22 September 2014
TOP VIEWS
  • Malaysia Automotive | OVERWEIGHT
  • Tiga Pilar Sejahtera (AISA IJ) | Company Update
  • Hyflux Ltd (HYF SP) | Company Update
Malaysia Automotive
Sector Update
Hari Raya hangover in August
  • Augusts TIV fell to 51.1k units (-15% MoM) post Hari Raya.
  • Our 2014 TIV forecast of 675k units (+3% YoY) is unchanged.
  • Maintain OVERWEIGHT. MBM is our new top sector BUY.
Tiga Pilar Sejahtera (AISA IJ)
KKR increases stake to 26%
Share Price: IDR2,420 | Target Price: IDR3,000 (+24%) | MCap (USD): 591M | ADTV (USD): 0.8M
  • KKR raised its stake in Tiga Pilar to 28% through non pre-emptive rights issue.
  • The US investment company became the second largest shareholder and is entitled to one director seat.
  • (FULL NOTE WILL BE OUT IN THE AFTERNOON)
Hyflux Ltd (HYF SP)
Changi NEWater slipped out of its hands
Share Price: SGD1.10 | Target Price: SGD1.07 (-3%) | MCap (USD): 751M | ADTV (USD): 0.6M
  • Maintain HOLD & SGD1.07 TP (25x FY16E P/E). Prefer HanKore and SIIC for water-sector exposure.
  • Lost bid for Changi NEWater project. Consortium formed by Beijing Enterprises Water and United Engineers won it.
  • Negative but no complete shock. Short term, low order book and weak earnings visibility.
COMPANY NOTES
  • Astro Malaysia (ASTRO MK) | Results Review
  • Berjaya Sports Toto (BST MK) | Results Review
  • Philippine Long Distance Telephone (TEL PM) | TP Revision
  • Ebbs & Flows
Astro Malaysia (ASTRO MK)
Mixed reception
Share Price: MYR3.38 | Target Price: MYR3.30 (-2%) | MCap (USD): 5.4B | ADTV (USD): 2M
  • 2QFY1/15 results within expectations. Dividends pleasantly outperformed again, however.
  • Trim net profit estimates by 1-5% but raise FY1/15-16 DPR assumption from 75% to 100%, FY1/17 from 75% to 80%.
  • Maintain HOLD with a slightly reduced DCF-based TP of MYR3.30 (-2%).
Berjaya Sports Toto (BST MK)
Still unlucky in 1QFY1/15
Results are below expectations.
  • Results are below expectations.
  • Dividends are in-line, however.
  • Maintain HOLD and MYR3.95 DCF-based TP.
Philippine Long Distance Telephone (TEL PM)
Also a rerating story
Share Price: PHP3,302 | Target Price: PHP3,482 (+5%) | MCap (USD): 16.1B | ADTV (USD): 26M
  • Raise TP to PHP3,482 as we roll over to 2015 and increase risk-free rate 50bps to 4.25%. Maintain HOLD.
  • Inclusion of pref. shares in public float led to stocks rerating.
  • Milestone reached in Rocket Internet investment with planned IPO this year.
  • (Full report will be out soon)
Ebbs & Flows
Regional Quants
EM maiden funds outflow in 15 weeks
  • This is a weekly fund flows tracker for emerging markets.

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