We met with Pan
Brothers management and had expansion updates, especially on garment plants in
Vietnam and Cambodia. The company should benefit from these expansions, such as
export tax incentives to the US market from its Vietnam plant, and lower labour
costs from its Cambodian factory. Also, it plans to set up a new fabric mill to
lower garment inventory days and reduce costs. However, its retail chain
expansion will be challenging as its own brand, Zoe, is still unpopular.
What’s new:
¨ Regional garment
expansion. Pan Brothers is one of the largest garment manufacturers
in Indonesia with annual production capacity of 42m pieces of garments. More
than 98% of its sales are exported, with its top five customers – Mitsubishi
(Uniqlo), Adidas, The North Face, Amer and Nike – accounting for 56% of its
FY13 sales. Over the next three years, the company plans to increase its annual
production capacity by 30m pieces (+70%). Its expansion plans include setting
up a joint venture (JV) and acquiring regional garment companies in Vietnam and
Cambodia. Currently, the company owns plants merely in Indonesia
¨ Upstream and
downstream expansion. Pan Brothers will create a JV
company to build a fabric mill to produce woven synthetic fabrics. The majority
of its production will be used for internal consumption. The management said
that the main purpose of this fabric factory is to reduce inventory holding
period. According to management, the long lead time for woven synthetic fabric
has resulted in high costs. On downstream expansion, the company plans to
increase retail outlets of its in-house brand Zoe.
Our view:
¨
We are positive on Pan Brothers’ garment expansion.
Notably, Vietnam and the US have a bilateral trade agreement on export tax
incentives. Whereas in Cambodia, the company will benefit from cheaper labour
costs at around USD70/month lower than that in Vietnam and Indonesia. We are
also positive on its fabric mill expansion as it will reduce inventory holding
period and improve cost efficiency. However, we are neutral on its retail
business expansion, as its own brand Zoe is still not popular. We are of the
view that Pan Brothers does not have expertise in retail business and needs to
acquire more well-known brands to develop its retail business. (Andrey
Wijaya)
ON THE PLATTER:
Ciputra Surya (CTRS IJ, BUY, TP IDR4,830)
Results Review: A Sterling Margin
FROM
TRADING DESK: JCI
today is expected to be traded at 4,939.15 and 4,854.20
MEDIA
HIGHLIGHTS:
Adi
Karya to accelerate monorail project
10
New airports will have public private partnership
Indonesia’s
Broad Money Supply (M2) moderated Further
Best
regards,
RHB
OSK Indonesia Research Institute
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