Monday, April 7, 2014

Affin Daily Insight (LV) - 7 April 2014 - PGAS / ECONOMY - TRADE / ECONOMY - US OUTLOOK / DMR


Top Calls

Company Update PGas (REDUCE, maintain)

- Focus on operational efficiencies

Last Friday
s briefing provided further clarity on PGBs new term agreement with PETRONAS. All in, we gathered that the new agreement: (1) should be bottomline neutral vis--vis the 4th Term; (2) should remunerate PBG as a gas infrastructure company and therefore not susceptible to uncontrollable elements (gas volume and gas composition); and (3) should clearly demarcate the gas processing and transportation income structure to prepare for the liberalisation of Malaysias gas market with the potential entry of new third party gas (LNG) importers. We understand that continuing with the 4th term is unfavourable to PGB as upstream gas is expected to be learner and thus, there is less export volume of liquid products (lower performance based structure income). No change to earnings estimates we project 3-year core earnings CAGR of 10% with LNG and power plant. Maintain REDUCE with an unchanged RNAV-based TP of RM20.20/share.


Other Calls

Economy Trade

- Exports rose by 12.3% in February, supported by E&E

Economy US Outlook Weekly Wrap (31 Mar 4 Apr 2014)

- US economic indicators improved in March, led by jobs

Debt Market Research

- Expect support because of well received SPK auction, worse than expected NFP and better Msia exports



For important disclosures, please refer to the Disclosure section at the end of the individual linked research reports.

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