Tuesday, August 18, 2015

[Maybank Kim Eng] Today's Research - Malaysia

g Company Research
- UEM Sunrise: Expect a stronger 2H
| Wei Sum Wong

g Sector Research
- Malaysia Semiconductor: Selldown overdone?
| Ivan Yap



MY: UEM Sunrise (UEMS MK)
Share Price: MYR0.88
Target Price: MYR0.99
Recommendation: Hold


Wei Sum Wong
(603) 2297 8679
weisum@maybank-ib.com


TP Revision: Expect a stronger 2H

FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY13A
FY14A
FY15E
FY16E
Revenue
2,425.3
2,661.7
2,254.3
2,587.1
EBITDA
594.6
534.3
577.9
634.1
Core net profit
579.1
479.9
399.0
453.6
Core FDEPS (sen)
13.0
10.6
7.9
9.0
Core FDEPS growth(%)
26.0
(18.8)
(25.5)
13.7
Net DPS (sen)
4.0
3.0
2.5
2.9
Core FD P/E (x)
6.8
8.3
11.2
9.8
P/BV (x)
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
Net dividend yield (%)
4.5
3.4
2.9
3.3
ROAE (%)
10.2
7.8
5.8
6.0
ROAA (%)
6.1
4.6
3.6
3.9
EV/EBITDA (x)
19.0
15.9
10.9
9.9
Net debt/equity (%)
9.6
25.6
21.6
17.7
§  1H15 net profit of MYR137m (+0.7% YoY) was in line.
§  Management remains confident of achieving its internal sales target of MYR2b for FY15.
§  Maintain earnings forecasts but cut TP to MYR0.99 (from MYR1.27) for the change in land price assumptions. HOLD.

MY: Malaysia Semiconductor
Recommendation: Overweight

Ivan Yap
(603) 2297 8612
ivan.yap@maybank-ib.com
Adrian Wong
(603) 2297 8675
adrian.wkj@maybank-ib.com
Sector Note: Selldown overdone?


§  Earnings prospects for semiconductor companies within our coverage have improved again on recent weakness in MYR.
§  A 1% change in MYR against the USD suggests a 2.5%/2.2%/ 0.5% impact in bottomlines for ViTrox/Inari/Globetronics.
§  Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector. Top Pick is Inari for its stronger earnings visibility on new orders from Avago and undemanding valuations (11x CY16 PER).

MY: Technicals

Lee Cheng Hooi
(603) 2297 8694
chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com

Technical Research: No let-up in liquidation activities


§  GAMUDA - On a very strong downward Wave 3 and 5 move.
§  FBMKLCI – No let-up in the liquidation activities.
§  Supports of 1,526 and 1,569 will be weaker.
§  Resistances of 1,572 and 1,606 will cap rebounds.

SG: Singapore NODX, July ‘15

Suhaimi Ilias
(603) 2297 8682
suhaimi_ilias@maybank-ib.com
Zamros Dzulkafli
(603) 2082 6818
zamros.d@maybank-ib.com
Economics Research: Struggle to maintain growth


§  NODX contracted -0.8% YoY dragged by non-electronic products, offsetting gains from electronics shipments.
§  NORX was better, expanded +5.0% YoY, as both electronics and non-electronics segments registered positive growth.
§  Expect NODX to remain sluggish for rest of 2015 with little sign of possible significant improvements in global trade going forward.

MY: Other News

Malaysia Research Team

Economics Research:


Outside Malaysia
    U.S: Homebuilders’ confidence climbed in August
    U.S: Japan’s holdings of U.S. Treasuries dipped below USD 1.2t for the first time since 2013
    Singapore: Home sales rose in July to the highest in two years
    Thailand: Economic growth slowed in the second quarter
Other News
    Maybank: Sector growing within expectations
    Parkson Holdings: Proposes MYR109m cash distribution
    Berjaya Sports Toto: Philippine unit gets 3-year contract extension
    Scomi Energy Services: Bags USD28m Myanmar job

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