Tuesday, October 24, 2017

FW: [Maybank] Will ECB Disappoint?

 

 

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GBL: Will ECB Disappoint?

FX Weekly
by Saktiandi Supaat

FX Research

Market expects some form of announcement on QE tapering this Thu. We see risk of ECB announcing plans to slow its asset purchases gradually (currently at a pace of EUR60bn per month) in Jan-2018. Our base case is for ECB to phase is slower purchase of EUR40bn for 6 months and subsequent reduction to EUR20bn for another 6 months. We still expect ECB to maintain a considerable degree of monetary accommodation (about EUR360bn for 2018 vs. EUR780bn for 2017) for inflation dynamics to become ...

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