STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
Malaysia Marine & Heavy Engineering : Relief from RM1bil
Bokor EPCIC HOLD
We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Malaysia Marine and
Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE) with an unchanged fair value of RM1.00 based
on a 40% discount to FY17F book valuation. Our FY17F-FY19F earnings are
maintained as we have already incorporated new annual order intakes of
RM1.2bil-RM1.6bil, of which the group has guided on potential ongoing and
planned tenders of RM11.3bil. MMHE has been awarded a RM1bil engineering,
procurement, construction, installation and commissioning (EPCIC) contract for
a central processing platform (CPP) for the Bokor Phase 3 Re-Development
project by Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd. With the first steel cut expected to
commence in 3QCY18, the project is scheduled to be completed in mid-2QCY20. We
estimate that the group’s order book, assuming a quarterly depletion of
RM300mil, would have risen by 66% to RM1,759mil from RM1,059mil as at 31 Dec
2016.
We note that even with the higher yard utilisation in
4QFY16, MMHE’s 4QFY16 revenue declined 9% QoQ which resulted in a core loss of
RM40mil, including additional one-off margins from marine change orders. Hence,
the group’s earnings momentum is unlikely to gain traction this year. This
Bokor project is much needed for MMHE’s West yard as its current yard
utilisation of 50%-60% could drop to a relatively idle capacity with the
completion of the Baronia CPP and F12 Kumang topside by 1HFY17. The stock
currently trades at a P/BV of 0.6x due to the likelihood of further operating
losses from the upstream sector’s slow project rollouts.
Others :
Ikhmas Jaya Group : Getting cash, properties under
settlement agreement BUY
MISC : Earnings unchanged as 2nd Thai FSO not secured
yet HOLD
QUICK TAKE
Technology Sector : Apple’s milestone in self-driving
favourable to
suppliers
NEUTRAL
STOCKS ON RADAR
Samchem Holdings,Malaysian Resources Corporation,S P Setia,Ahmad
Zaki Resources
ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHT
US : Trump’s tax policy
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
Automobile Sector : Perodua to produce more EEV models
Airlines Sector : AirAsia sets up subsidiary to provide
charter services
Utilities Sector : BTM Resources, partners eye RM435mil
power plant in Malacca
DISCLAIMER:
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by
AmInvestment Bank Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this report
may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for
information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy
any securities. The directors and employees of AmInvestment Bank Bhd. Bhd may
from time to time have a position in or with the securities mentioned herein.
Members of the AmBank Group Bhd and their affiliates may provide services to
any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned
herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we
believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure
that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not
represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as
such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of
this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our
judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.