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SECTOR RESEARCH
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KL price outlook conference
by Chee
Ting Ong
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Speakers are generally in agreement that CPO price has
peaked in Feb for 2017 and will trend lower in 2H17. However, the
timing of the decline is debatable and its intensity will largely
depend on the extent of the output recovery. Overall, the speakers are
neutral-to-bearish on CPO prices, with 2017’s price expected to trade
between MYR2,200-3,100/t. But weather remains the wild card in 2017
given the still tight stockpile situation. Our BUYs in the region are
BPLANT, SOP, BAL, AALI, LSIP, TBLA
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MACRO RESEARCH
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Powerman
by Tee
Sze Chiah
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FBMKLCI Index ended a tad lower, losing 3.12pts to
close at 1,725.54 yesterday. Broader market was mixed with gainers
barely outpaced losers by 472 to 416. A total of 3.08b shares worth
MYR2.43b changed hands yesterday. Weakness in US market overnight took
toll on domestic market as FBMKLCI Index struggled to swing past
1,730. However, current setback would likely be temporary. Expect the
benchmark index to range between 1,720 and 1,730 today. Downside
support is now realigned to 1,715 and 1,700
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NEWS
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Outside Malaysia:
Germany: Industrial production rebounded in January,
reaffirming the country’s favorable economic outlook after factory orders
slumped the most in eight years. Output, adjusted for seasonal swings and
inflation, rose 2.8% from December, when it dropped a revised 2.4%, the
Economy Ministry said. Production was unchanged from a year earlier.
(Source: Bloomberg)
U.K: Said to increasingly eye late March for triggering
Brexit. Prime Minister Theresa May’s team increasingly expects the U.K.
to trigger the start of Brexit talks in late March, according to two
British officials and a European Union diplomat. While the end of next
week remains an option if May can secure parliamentary approval, signs
are mounting in both London and Brussels that she will hold back until
after a March 25 summit of EU leaders in Rome. All three officials asked
not to be named as the matter is private. (Source: Bloomberg)
China: Imports surged in February with the nation posting
a rare trade deficit as exports slipped. Analysts said seasonal factors
mostly explain the swings. Imports soared 38.1% YoY in U.S. dollar terms
as exports dropped 1.3% YoY. Trade deficit was USD 9.15b, the first
negative reading in three years. (Source: Bloomberg)
Japan: Strongest loan growth since bubble shows reflation
at work. One measure of loans outstanding jumped by 2.9% YoY in February,
and has gained at least 2% each month since the spring of 2013 -- a pace
not seen in Bank of Japan records going back to 1992, the year Japan’s
land-price bubble popped. The total outstanding loan book is now at the
highest since 2001. Among the priorities in Abenomics has been shaking up
corporate governance and the property market, and that might have
contributed to the pick-up in credit. Financing for mergers and property
purchases have combined with the economic expansion to spur lending
demand, according to a BOJ official who wasn’t authorized to speak
publicly. (Source: Bloomberg)
Crude Oil: U.S stockpiles expand to record. Stockpiles
rose by 8.2 million barrels to 528.4 million, the highest level in weekly
data compiled by the Energy Information Administration since 1982. Crude
output climbed a third week. Production from Libya’s Waha Oil Co. may be
suspended as clashes in the country’s eastern oil region keep the main
export terminals out of service. Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries and other nations started trimming supply on Jan. 1 to reduce a
global glut and stabilize prices. U.S. crude production is projected to
surge to a record 9.73 million barrels a day next year, according to the
EIA’s monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook. Brent for May settlement dropped
5% to USD 53.11/bbl. (Source: Bloomberg)
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Other News:
LBS Bina: LBS Bina, YPJ Plantations to develop MYR2.6b
township in Johor. The group indirect subsidiary Biz Bina Development S/B
(BBDSB) has teamed up with YPJ Plantations S/B to jointly develop a
541.4-acre mixed township in Kota Tinggi, Johor, with an estimated gross
development value of MYR2.6b. Under the joint development agreement, YPJ
Plantations will be entitled to 7.5% of the GDV of the proposed
development or minimum guaranteed sum of MYR194.9m. BBDSB, meanwhile,
will be entitled to the whole sales proceeds from the project less the
landowner's entitlement. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
MB World: Township project to ride on Pengerang. MB World
Group sees the multi-billion-ringgit oil and gas project , Pengerang
Integrated Petroleum Complex (PIPC), pushing up demand for property in
south-east Johor and other parts of the Kota Tinggi district. Executive
director Ng Liang Khiang said the company was banking on the location of
its township project Taman Sri Penawar near Desaru coast to attract potential
property buyers from Johor and outside the state. He said the recent
announcement by Saudi Arabian petroleum company Saudi Aramco to invest
MYR31b in the Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development, or
Rapid, project would further boost investor confidence in Pengerang.
(Source: The Star)
Enra: Buys 60-acre plot in Labuan for MYR7.57m. In a move
to increase its land bank for property development, Enra Group is buying
60 acres of leasehold land in Labuan for MYR7.57m from a government
agency. Enra said the purchase price for the second parcel will be 20%
premium from the market value at the time of exercising the call option.
The call option for the second parcel is exercisable over a period of 36
months from the completed acquisition date of the first parcel. (Source:
The Edge Financial Daily)
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