Saturday, May 21, 2016

Post MPC statement released yesterday, the bond market was slightly softer today as many expected a srr cut which didn’t happen.

                       
Today’s trade recap by our trading desk:-
 
 
·         Post MPC statement released yesterday, the bond market was slightly softer today as many expected a srr cut which didn’t happen. Some traders who were on bond-swap spread widening play started to realise some profits on the bonds while IRS started to move higher. Good 2-way price action was seen on the 7Y benchmarks as the yield curve closed higher by 2-bps today. MYR opened slightly stronger but ended the day around yesterday’s closing levels after April CPI YoY figure came in around the expected levels of +2.1%.
 
Malaysia Government Bonds Benchmark Issues
MGS
Closing Level (%)
Change (bp)
Volume (RM m)
3-yr
3.235
+5.0
200
5-yr
3.400
+5.0
12
7-yr
3.765
+2.0
580
10-yr
3.845
+2.0
79
15-yr
4.195
+2.5
0
20-yr
4.315
+3.5
0
30-yr
4.675
0.0
16
Source: BondStream, AmBank
 
Interest Rate Swap Closing Rates
IRS
Closing Yield (%)
Change (bp)
1-yr
3.595
+2.5
3-yr
3.600
+2.0
5-yr
3.700
0.0
7-yr
3.855
+2.0
10-yr
4.020
+1.0
Source: Bloomberg, AmBank
 
 
Local News:
 
·         Malaysia’s inflation rate moderated to 2.1% in April following a 2.6% increase in the prior month, reflecting a slowdown in food and non-food inflation. The index for Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages rose 4.2% y/y while the index for Non-Food recorded an increase of 1.2%. Core inflation, which excludes most volatile items of fresh food, as well as administered prices of goods and services rose 2.3% y/y in April 2016.
·         The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to US$97.2 billion as at 13 May 2016. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 7.9 months of retained imports and is 1.2 times the short-term external debt.

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