Friday, July 10, 2015

Daily FX Update, 10 July 2015

v  IMF downgrades its global growth forecasts for 2015 to 3.3% from 3.5%       
v  Germany's trade surplus widen in May as exports grow faster than imports
v  Bank of England keeps its policy rate unchanged at 0.5%
v  Bank Negara Malaysia maintains the overnight policy rate at 3.25%
v  The value of Japan's core machinery orders rise to a 7-year high in May
v  China's inflation increases in June as both food and non-food prices move higher                         
OVERNIGHT MARKET UPDATE:

·         Global – IMF downgraded its global growth forecasts for 2015 to 3.3% from 3.5% citing sluggish economic activity in the US during the first quarter and slowdown in the emerging market economies. According to the IMF, underlying drivers for a gradual acceleration in economic activity in advanced economies remain intact.
·         US – The jobless claims climbed to 297,000, the highest level in over four months, an increase of 15,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 282,000. Despite the increase, the four week remains at a still low 279,000.
·         Euro area – Germany's trade surplus widened in May as exports grew faster than imports. In seasonally-adjusted terms, Germany May exports increased 1.7% on monthly basis to EUR102.1 billion. Meanwhile, imports grew by 0.5 %, leaving a trade surplus of EUR22.8 billion.
·         UK – Bank of England kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.5% while maintaining the size of the Asset Purchase Programme at GBP375 billion.
·         Greece – The Greek Government has submitted a new proposal to creditors. Prime Minister Tsipras is expected to meet Syriza lawmakers to discuss the reform proposals. 
·         Currency – A relatively quiet session with EUR marginally weaker and most other currencies relatively stable.
·         Equity – Following the rebound in Chinese equities, most major European bourses rose by more than 2%. US equities were up on the day as well.
·         Rate – Bond yields rose across core markets like the US, UK and Germany, with traders and newswires attributing the rise to the rebound in Chinese equities.
·         Energy – Brent gained the most in four weeks while WTI also halted a five-day losing streak as the Shanghai Composite Index surged. EIA data that showed strong demand for gasoline has continued in the US helped to support the recovery as well.
Precious Metal – Gold prices ended lower on as investors opting for the riskier equity assets after global markets rebounded and also the pressure of stronger dollar.


INDICATIVE MAJOR CURRENCIES

Last Close
 8.05 am Snapshot
       Bid                   Offer
Expected Ranges for Today
        Low                       High
USD/MYR
3.7952
3.7690
3.8030
3.7670
3.8120
JPY/MYR (100)
3.1283
3.0970
3.1300
3.0900
3.1500
SGD/MYR
2.8077
2.7870
2.8210
2.7800
2.8400
EUR/MYR
4.1759
4.1700
4.2010
4.1400
4.2400
AUD/MYR
2.8232
2.8060
2.8400
2.8000
2.8700
GBP/MYR
5.8268
5.8000
5.8360
5.7700
5.8900
USD/JPY
121.32
121.35
121.76
120.95
121.95
EUR/USD
1.1003
1.0900
1.1210
1.1000
1.1110
AUD/USD
0.7439
0.7310
0.7620
0.7420
0.7520
 

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