Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Daily FX Update, 1 July 2015

v  Greece becomes the first advanced economy to miss a payment on IMF debt   
v  US Conference Board consumer confidence index rises in June 
v  Fitch affirms Malaysia A- ratings with the outlook revises to Stable from Negative
v  Malaysia's Producer Price Index for May 2015 decreases
v  Total labor cash earnings in Japan increase in May
v  South Korea's industrial output declines in May, with production losses across key automobile, semiconductor and machinery sectors                         




OVERNIGHT MARKET UPDATE:

·         US Conference Board consumer confidence index rose to 101.4 in June from 94.6. Case-Shiller house prices rose just 0.3% m/m in April, but annual house price growth remained at 4.9%. The Chicago PMI rose to 49.4 in June from 46.2 in May. On balance, the regional Fed manufacturing surveys have improved further in June, which points to a modest pick-up in the ISM manufacturing survey.
·         Greece has become the first advanced economy to miss a payment on IMF debt. The International Monetary Fund’s board has been informed that Greece is now in arrears after a 6 p.m. Washington deadline Tuesday for Greece’s US$1.7 billion payment, coinciding with the expiration of the nation’s European bailout.
·         The euro area CPI estimate rose 0.2% y/y in June. The euro area unemployment rate remained unchanged at 11.1% in May, hindered by increases in France and Portugal. 
·         The final estimate of Q1 UK GDP data was revised upward to 0.4% on quarterly basis from 0.3%. Meanwhile, the current account deficit narrowed to GBP26.5 billion from GBP28.9 billion in Q4.
·         Currency Market – EUR remains relatively unaffected by the prospect of the Greek bailout ending and most other currencies marked time as limited news was released.     
·         It was a choppy trading session for the US Treasuries, with the 10-year yield inched up by 3 basis points to 2.35%, as traders digested the latest developments regarding Greece.     
·         US equities ended higher due to bargain hunting following previous session sell-off. Three major bourses finished the session in positive territory but well off their best levels of the day.      
·         Crude oil prices gained overnight. Prices recovered from the lowest level in two months as traders weighed the latest developments in Greece and Iran. 
Gold prices closed lower amid last ditch efforts to revive talks between Greece and its creditors.



INDICATIVE MAJOR CURRENCIES

Last Close
 8.05 am Snapshot
       Bid                   Offer
Expected Ranges for Today
        Low                       High
USD/MYR
3.7733
3.7290
3.7650
3.7270
3.7720
JPY/MYR (100)
3.0898
3.0450
3.0770
3.0300
3.1000
SGD/MYR
2.8004
2.7630
2.7970
2.7600
2.8100
EUR/MYR
4.2084
4.1560
4.1880
4.1300
4.2200
AUD/MYR
2.9088
2.8660
2.9010
2.8500
2.9200
GBP/MYR
5.9335
5.8580
5.8960
5.8300
5.9400
USD/JPY
122.12
122.23
122.64
121.83
122.83
EUR/USD
1.1153
1.0980
1.1290
1.1080
1.1190
AUD/USD
0.7709
0.7540
0.7850
0.7650
0.7750

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