Monday, July 14, 2014

Affin Daily Insight (LV) - 14 July 2014 - PBK / GENP / ECONOMY - US OUTLOOK / DMR

Top Calls

Company Update Public Bank (REDUCE, maintain)

- Still business-as-usual

Despite the sustainability of PBB
s market share, we reiterate our REDUCE rating on the stock as we believe that PBB's valuations look pricey on a PBV basis at 3.1x 2014E and 2.8x 2015E and meanwhile, ROEs are on a declining trend from its high of 25-28% in 2006-11 to 19-20% for FY14-16E. On a dividend angle, large-cap peers such as Maybank (MAY MK, BUY, Price Target RM12.00) which offer better dividend yields of 5.6% while benefiting from a stronger ASEAN footing, in our view. We also lower our price target from RM18.00, to RM17.70 given the 3% downward revision in FY15E earnings as we have raised our deposit growth to 10-11% as well as increased PBBs funding cost arising from the aggressive campaigns on deposit. Meanwhile, management continued to guide a firm loan growth target of 10-11% for FY14E, which is above industry trends.


Other Calls

Flash Note Genting Plant (ADD, maintain)

- Collaboration to produce high value palm oil derivatives

Economy US Outlook Weekly Wrap (7 11 July 2014)

- US Fed likely to end bond buying program later this year

Debt Market Research

- Post MPC, looking for equilibrium in a biddish tone


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