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Sunway (SWB MK)
by Wei Sum
Wong
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Share
Price:
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MYR4.32
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Target
Price:
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MYR4.04
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Recommendation:
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Hold
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Disposing Sunway
Clio properties
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We are positive on the disposal of Sunway Clio properties.
The disposal will help to lower Sunway’s net gearing to 0.53x (from
0.58x in end 2017) and recycle the capital for other businesses such as
healthcare and property development. We fine-tune our earnings
forecasts by -0.9% to +1.3% to factor in the disposal. Our TP is
largely unchanged at MYR4.04 (+1sen), pegged to 0.7x RNAV. Maintain
HOLD.
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FYE Dec (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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4,448.4
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4,725.9
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5,579.1
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6,630.5
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EBITDA
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427.2
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531.1
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811.0
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1,023.3
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Core net profit
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590.7
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547.4
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538.8
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614.3
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Core EPS (sen)
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33.7
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29.5
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26.1
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29.8
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Core EPS growth (%)
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(1.6)
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(12.5)
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(11.4)
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14.0
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Net DPS (sen)
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37.0
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12.1
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7.8
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8.9
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Core P/E (x)
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12.8
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14.7
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16.5
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14.5
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P/BV (x)
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1.2
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1.2
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1.1
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1.1
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Net dividend yield (%)
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8.6
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2.8
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1.8
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2.1
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ROAE (%)
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na
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na
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na
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na
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ROAA (%)
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4.1
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3.1
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2.9
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3.2
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EV/EBITDA (x)
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21.7
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18.3
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17.1
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14.5
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Net debt/equity (%)
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45.2
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40.9
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48.6
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57.2
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Share
Price:
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MYR1.71
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Target
Price:
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MYR1.90
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Recommendation:
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Buy
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Acquires Sunway
Clio
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We are positive on the purchase of Sunway Clio Property as
it is EPU and DPU accretive and complements its existing properties. We
raise our FY18-19E earnings estimates by 0.6-1.4% after imputing the
asset injection and consequently nudge up our TP to MYR1.90 (+5sen).
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FYE Jun (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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453.5
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507.0
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522.6
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579.4
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Net property income
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340.8
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373.9
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395.8
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443.1
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Distributable income
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256.6
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270.6
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268.6
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300.9
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DPU (sen)
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7.8
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8.3
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8.2
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9.1
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DPU growth (%)
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4.3
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5.2
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(1.0)
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11.6
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Price/DPU(x)
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21.8
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20.7
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20.9
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18.7
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P/BV (x)
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1.3
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1.2
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1.3
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1.3
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DPU yield (%)
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4.6
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4.8
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4.8
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5.3
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ROAE (%)
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14.1
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8.1
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6.7
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7.5
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ROAA (%)
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4.0
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4.0
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4.1
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4.4
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Debt/Assets (x)
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0.3
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0.3
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0.3
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0.4
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Share
Price:
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MYR0.71
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Target
Price:
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MYR0.75
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Recommendation:
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Hold
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Upgrade to HOLD
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1H17 results are in line but we cut FY18-19 earnings to
reflect further operating challenges ahead. Nonetheless, we posit that
its share price, having fallen 31% YTD, already reflects most of the
negatives. With limited downside, we see values emerging. For that, we
upgrade MMHE to a HOLD with a revised TP of MYR0.75 (-17%), based on
0.5x NTA (vs. 1x EV/ order backlog previously).
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FYE Dec (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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2,459.0
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1,191.3
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1,003.1
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992.7
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EBITDA
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157.9
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84.3
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66.4
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63.9
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Core net profit
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93.3
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(1.3)
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(24.5)
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(25.4)
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Core EPS (sen)
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5.8
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(0.1)
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(1.5)
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(1.6)
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Core EPS growth (%)
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(46.1)
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nm
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nm
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nm
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Net DPS (sen)
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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Core P/E (x)
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12.2
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nm
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nm
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nm
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P/BV (x)
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0.4
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0.4
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0.5
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0.5
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Net dividend yield (%)
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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ROAE (%)
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1.7
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(5.2)
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(1.9)
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(1.1)
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ROAA (%)
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2.1
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(0.0)
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(0.7)
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(0.7)
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EV/EBITDA (x)
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4.8
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9.7
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2.6
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3.8
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Net debt/equity (%)
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net cash
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net cash
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net cash
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net cash
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MACRO RESEARCH
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Public Bank Mixed Technical Signals
by Nik
Ihsan Raja Abdullah
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FBMKLCI bucked the regional downtrend to end the day
1.29pts higher yesterday. At day’s end, the benchmark rose 0.07% to
1,771.90. Broader market, however, remained weak with losers
outpacing gainers by 449 to 346. A total of 1.75b shares worth
MYR1.75b changed hands. Lackluster performance in overnight US
markets could attract selling pressure while investors may turn
risk-off ahead of the weekend break.
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Nik Ihsan Raja
Abdullah
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Tee Sze Chiah
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NEWS
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Outside Malaysia:
U.S: Summer swoon in U.S. services puts growth between
gloom and boom. While the abrupt slowdown in America’s service industries
may be no more than a brief summer swoon, it doesn’t help the U.S.
economy break out of its growth rut. The Institute for Supply
Management’s non-manufacturing index, representing industries that account
for almost 90% of the economy, fell to 53.9 in July, the weakest level
since August and below the lowest estimate in a Bloomberg survey. The
decline, seen in data, is at odds with an ISM manufacturing gauge earlier
this week, which showed factory managers were more upbeat than their
service-industry counterparts. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.S: Consumer comfort reached seven-week high. Americans
last week started feeling much more confident about the economy, pushing
the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index to a seven-week high and partly
reversing an early-summer slump, figures released showed. Weekly consumer
comfort measure rose to 49.6 from prior week’s 48.6. Gauge of current
views of economy jumped to 48.6 from 45, the largest one-week gain since
October. Index of personal finances little changed at 58 after 58.1.
Measure of buying climate eased to 42.2 from 42.6. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.S: The decline in filings for unemployment benefits last
week underscores steady demand for workers in a tightening job market,
Labor Department figures showed. Jobless claims decreased by 5k to 240k.
Continuing claims crept up by 3k to 1.968m in week ended June 22 (data
reported with one-week lag). Four-week average of initial claims, a
less-volatile measure than the weekly figure, declined to 241,750 from
244,250 in prior week. The latest figure is little changed from the
average so far this year. A shortage of qualified workers is making
employers reluctant to let go of the people they already have, keeping
the underlying trend in jobless claims near the lowest level in more than
four decades. (Source: Bloomberg)
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Other News:
Globaltec Formation: NuEnergy gets nodfor Indonesia coal
bed methane plan. Its Australia-listed 44%-owned subsidiary NuEnergy Gas
Ltd has received approval to prepare a plan of development for its
Tanjung Enim production sharing contract (PSC) in South Sumatra,
Indonesia. The approval marks a significant milestone for Globaltec as it
works towards delivering the group’s first coal bed methane supply.
NuEnergy will now work with Indonesian regulator SKK Migas, which granted
the approval for preparing the plan for development. The clean energy
company is aiming to submit its plan of development proposal to
Indonesia’s ministry of energy and mineral resources through SKK Migas
before the end of the year. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
Versatile Creative: To explore MYR62.5m e-concept stores
for IRISPAY station. Versatile Creative has entered into a memorandum of
agreement (MOA) with Iris World Marketing S/B for both parties to explore
the development of 250 IRISPAY station E-Concept Stores throughout Malaysia
with an estimated GDV of about MYR62.5m. Upon entering into the MOA,
Versatile will conduct an evaluation of the viability and feasibility of
the project and a due-diligence exercise on Iris World. The definitive
agreement is to be drawn up within a period of three months. (Source: The
Sun Daily)
Handal Resources: Wins onshore crane overhaul, repair
services contract. Handal Resources has bagged a contract to provide
onshore overhaul, major repair and refurbishment services for offshore
cranes for ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Malaysia Inc at an
undisclosed sum. The contract works already commenced on July 27 2017,
effective for three years ending July 26, 2020, with an option to extend
for a year. (Source: The Sun Daily)
Tune Protect: Appoints two top executives. Tune Protect
Group has appointed Khoo Ai Lin as CEO of the group’s 83.3%-owned
subsidiary Tune Insurance Malaysia. Tune Protect also announced the
appointment of Khor Kee Eng as the group’s chief actuary to lead its
actuarial function. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
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