Published on 04 Aug 2017.
RAM Ratings has
reaffirmed the global corporate credit ratings of Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad
(KLK or the Group) at gA3/Stable/gP2. Concurrently, we have reaffirmed the
ratings of its multi-currency IMTN programmes as follows:
Instrument
|
Rating Action
|
Rating
|
RM1.6 billion Multi-Currency IMTN Programme (2015/2027) |
Reaffirmed
|
AA1/Stable
|
RM1.0 billion Multi-Currency IMTN Programme (2012/2022) |
Reaffirmed
|
AA1/Stable
|
The reaffirmation of
the ratings is premised on our expectations that KLK’s credit metrics will
remain commensurate with the ratings over the next 1-2 years, supported by
recovery in its plantation production, the maturing of its young palms
especially in Indonesia, and growth in its manufacturing segment. The Group’s
credit metrics had stayed intact and within expectations in 1H FY Sep 2017
despite weaker manufacturing profits due to the higher prices of crude palm
kernel oil and a heavier-than-expected debt load. Given lower working capital
requirements under our stressed CPO price expectations, the Group’s gearing and
funds from operations (FFO) debt cover are envisaged to come in below 0.35
times and above 0.40 times, respectively, over the next 3 years.
KLK saw its fresh
fruit bunch (FFB) production decline 8% y-o-y in FY Sep 2016 owing to the
lagged effects of El Nino weather conditions experienced in 2015. As a result,
the Group recorded its lowest CPO yield of 4.42 metric tonnes per mature
hectare over the last decade. Nevertheless, FFB production rebounded by 7% in
1H FY Sep 2017, with stronger recovery noted in the second quarter. This nearly
doubled the Group’s plantation profits y-o-y, offsetting the poor contribution
from its manufacturing segment whose profits plunged 66%. KLK’s overall yields
are expected to improve going forward, driven by yield recovery and the younger
tree profile of its Indonesian estates.
As at end-March
2017, the Group’s balance sheet remained strong despite a higher-than-expected
debt level, while its large cash pile continued to keep its net debt coverage
ratios within comfortable ranges. KLK’s gearing and net gearing ratios were
within our expectations at 0.42 times and 0.29 times, respectively, as at the
same date. The Group’s borrowings had increased by 18% y-o-y, consisting of
short-term trade financing, secured to fund working capital required for its
enlarged mid- and downstream capacities and the trading of refined products. On
the back of stronger profits, KLK’s annualised FFO debt cover improved to 0.36
times in 1H FY Sep 2017 (1H FY Sep 2016: 0.33 times). While we envisage lower
working capital requirements going forward, we recognise that KLK’s working
capital can spike in the event CPO prices increase substantially. Any material
leveraging, however, will have to be accompanied by requisite cashflows to
preserve the Group’s credit standing.
KLK retained its
prominent position as the third-largest plantation company locally and among
the top 10 worldwide. Its integrated operations are spread across Malaysia,
Indonesia, Liberia, Europe and China. This, along with the Group’s fairly lean
cost of production, will continue to provide it with a sufficient buffer to
weather industry downcycles.
The operating
environment of the Group’s enlarged mid- and downstream businesses, which
continues to be plagued by persistent overcapacity and volatile feedstock
costs, moderates the ratings. As with other planters, KLK is susceptible to the
volatility of CPO prices. In addition, its exposure to operational risk is
heightened by its estates in Indonesia and Liberia.
Analytical
contact
Kathleen Por
(603) 7628 1015
kathleen@ram.com.my
Kathleen Por
(603) 7628 1015
kathleen@ram.com.my
Media
contact
Padthma Subbiah
(603) 7628 1162
padthma@ram.com.my
Padthma Subbiah
(603) 7628 1162
padthma@ram.com.my
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