7 August 2017
Credit
Markets Weekly
Malaysian June Exports Slowed to 10%
YoY; NFP Above Expectations
SUMMARY:
¨
MYR Credit Market: MYR and MGS rally. The MYR rallied WoW to end
the week at 4.2782/USD (+0.07%) amid a mix performance among EM Asia
currencies. The 3y MGS closed at 3.27% (-5.5bps) while the 10y MGS remained
largely unchanged at 3.99%. The coming week may see a further weakness in EM
Asia as markets globally reel from the positive numbers from the US.
Corporate News – MARC
assigned final rating of AAAis
to Putrajaya Bina Sdn Bhd’s (PBSB) MYR1.58bn sukuk with a stable outlook. PBSB,
a wholly-owned subsidiary of Putrajaya Holdings Sdn Bhd, is undertaking the
development of nine blocks of government office buildings and one block of
share facilities under a concession agreement with the Malaysian government,
which commenced in May-17. Proceeds of the issuances will be used to fund the
MYR1.9bn development which entails a three-and-a-half year construction phase
and a 25 year asset maintenance phase. MARC projects that PBSB’s FSCR will
range between 2.3x to 27.9x throughout the asset management period.
¨
APAC USD Credit Market: UST
yields push lower particularly at the longer end despite the strong NFP print.
The July employment report showed NFP printed at 209k against expectations
of 180k (prior: 222k), while average hourly earnings rose to 2.5% on a YoY
basis easing concerns over the December rate hike (probability rose to 40.2%
from 38.7% in last Friday). The Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC)
for 3Q17, failed to address the ongoing concerns on the ultra-long UST
issuance, but did mention its ability to fund within the debt-ceiling up to the
end of September. UST 10y yields rallied -2.7bps WoW to 2.26%, while the
2y was unchanged at 1.35%.
Rating Actions – Moody’s
upgraded the rating of Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk to Ba3/Sta; Moody’s
upgraded CIMIC Finance (USA) Pty Ltd to Baa2/Sta; Samsung Electronics Co Ltd
saw its outlook revised to A1/Pos with Moody’s; Moody’s has revised upwards its
negative outlook of COFCO Hong Kong Ltd affirming it at A3/Sta; China Railway
Group’s (CREC) outlook was changed to Positive by S&P, affirmed at
BBB+; S&P placed Chinese port operator, China Merchants Port Holdings’
(CMPH) BBB+ rating on negative watch.
Table 1: Index Weekly Movements
Indices
|
04-Aug
|
28-Jul
|
Weekly Chg (bps)
|
iTraxx AxJ 5y IG
|
80.1
|
82.0
|
-2
|
AxJ IG Spread (bps)
|
169.2
|
168.6
|
1
|
AxJ HY (%)
|
6.74
|
6.67
|
7
|
SOR 2y (%)
|
1.25
|
1.26
|
-1
|
SOR 5y (%)
|
1.71
|
1.73
|
-2
|
Malaysia 5y CDS
|
79.3
|
79.8
|
-1
|
MGS 3y (%)
|
3.27
|
3.32
|
-5
|
MGS 5y (%)
|
3.69
|
3.69
|
0
|
MGS 7y (%)
|
3.91
|
3.91
|
1
|
MGS 10y (%)
|
3.99
|
3.99
|
0
|
AAA 5y Spread* (bps)
|
61
|
60
|
1
|
AAA 10y Spread* (bps)
|
66
|
67
|
0
|
AA 5y Spread* (bps)
|
96
|
96
|
0
|
AA 10y Spread* (bps)
|
103
|
103
|
0
|
Source: Bloomberg, BNM,
RHBFIC *MYR-denominated bonds
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