COMPANY UPDATE
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KNM Group: Maintain Buy
|
Building
a war chest Shariah-compliant
|
- SGD300m
MTN programme to support its renewable energy development and
RAPID works.
- Transformation
into a renewable energy play is a key catalyst to a re-rating
and perception change.
- Maintain
BUY and MYR1.00 (0.6x EV/backlog).
|
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SECTOR UPDATE
|
Malaysia Automotive: Maintain Neutral
|
Uninspiring
recovery
|
- May
2015 TIV recovered to 51.3k units (+13% MoM) after a 33% nosedive
in Apr, immediately post GST implementation.
- Our
2015 TIV forecast of 660k units (-1% YoY) is unchanged.
- Maintain
NEUTRAL with no near-term re-rating catalyst just yet. BUYs are
MBM and BAuto. HOLD UMWH and TCM.
|
Malaysia Media: Maintain Neutral
|
May
2015 adex: Marginal rebound
|
- May
2015 total gross adex eased 7% YoY or 4ppts less than in Apr
2015. 5M15 total gross adex also eased 7% YoY.
- This
indicates a partial recovery in consumer and adex sentiment
after the 6% GST was implemented on 1 Apr 2015.
- Maintain
our 2015 total gross adex forecast of -8% for now. Maintain
NEUTRAL on the Malaysian media sector.
|
|
ECONOMICS
|
Malaysia CPI, May 2015
|
Inching
higher post-GST
|
- Inflation
rate in May 2015 picked up further to +2.1% YoY (Apr 2015: +1.8%
YoY) since GST introduction on 1 Apr 2015.
- Mainly
on higher costs of food and non-alcoholic beverages (FNAB) and
housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (HWEGOF).
- Post-GST
(Apr-May 2015) inflation rate so far is +2.0% YoY (1Q 2015:
+0.7% YoY). Maintain our 2015 inflation forecast at 2.5%-3.5%
(official forecast: 2.0%-3.0%).
|
|
Technicals
|
A
weaker tone today
The FBMKLCI gained 3.65 points to 1,721.77 last Friday, while the
FBMEMAS and FBM100 also closed higher by 19.40 points and 15.12
points, respectively. We recommend a �Sell on
Rallies� stance for
the index.
Trading idea is a Take profit call on UMWOG with downside target
areas at MYR1.62 & MYR1.51.
Click here for full report »
|
Other Local News
|
Transportation:
Three outfits said to be on shortlist for LRT3 PDP. The 3
outfits understood to be front runners are the Naza TTDI- CSR Zhuzhou
JV, MRCB- George Kent JV and UEM Group with the 3 said to have the
most attractive bids. However, Prasarana has noted that evaluation is
still ongoing and that no front runners have been identified yet. The
appointment of the PDP is likely to be done soon with the
construction of the LRT3 to commence late this year as per schedule
of the Land Transport Commission. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
Tenaga Nasional: Receives letter of invitation from Energy
Commission. Tenaga Nasional (TNB) has received a letter of
invitation from the Energy Commission (EC) to submit its proposal
pertaining to the takeover of 1Malaysia Development (1MDB) 70% stake
in the MYR11b Jimah East (Project 3B) coal power plant. EC in
consultation with the government has accepted TNB's participation as
the lead developer in the project for the development of 2x1000MW
coal fired power plant in Jimah in consortium with Mitsui Co. Ltd
(Mitsui). 1MDB owns 70% while Mitsui controls 30% of the project. The
project is scheduled for commissioning in stages from Oct 1, 2018.
(Source: The Sun Daily)
Tenaga Nasional: Forced outages at six plants test national grid.
Unplanned outages at three power plants triggered Tenaga Nasional
(TNB) issuance of an "orange warning"- an emergency call
for all electricity generators to be on full alert. The three other
power plants suffered forced outages after the orange warning. At the
peak of the incident, the national utility drew some 300MW of
electricity from the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand for
about three hours to fill the supply gap. While TNB denied that the
outages resulted in load-shedding, the incident tested the grid�s reserve
margin and its ability to cope with such emergencies. (Source: The
Edge Financial Daily)
Gamuda: Gamuda & partners bid for Singapore land. A
consortium comprising Gamuda, Evia Real Estate (7) Pte Ltd and Maxdin
Pte Ltd has placed a tender worth SGD345.86m (MYR962.5m) to
potentially develop a 99-year leasehold plot of land in Toa Payoh,
Singapore. The top five tenderers' bid prices are within a close
range of 4% and we are merely 1% above the second highest bid. It
will be Gamuda's first foray into property development in Singapore
if they were awarded the tender. (Source: The Sun Daily)
|
Outside Malaysia
|
E.U:
IMF warns no leeway on payment as Merkel urges Greece to bow. IMF chief
Christine Lagarde said Greece won�t be given a
grace period if it fails to make a payment at the end of the month as
Chancellor Angela Merkel said there's still time to reach a deal on
aid. Lagarde, whose policies were labeled "criminal" last
week by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, said that Greece will
immediately be considered in default unless it pays about EUR 1.5b
(USD1.7b) due to the fund on June 30. "It will be in default -
it will be in arrears vis-a-vis the IMF, yes, on July 1,"
Lagarde said at a press conference in Luxembourg to discuss the
deadlock over Greece. (Source: Bloomberg)
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|
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|
Key Indices
|
Value
|
YTD
(%)
|
Daily
(%)
|
KLCI
|
1,721.8
|
(2.2)
|
0.2
|
JCI
|
4,985.0
|
(4.6)
|
0.8
|
STI
|
3,301.0
|
(1.9)
|
0.0
|
SET
|
1,491.5
|
(0.4)
|
(1.1)
|
HSI
|
26,760.5
|
13.4
|
0.2
|
KOSPI
|
2,047.0
|
6.9
|
0.2
|
TWSE
|
9,218.4
|
(1.0)
|
0.0
|
|
|
|
|
DJIA
|
18,016.0
|
1.1
|
(0.6)
|
S&P
|
2,110.0
|
2.5
|
(0.5)
|
FTSE
|
6,710.5
|
2.2
|
0.0
|
|
|
|
|
MYR/USD
|
3.744
|
7.0
|
0.9
|
CPO (1mth)
|
2,232.0
|
(2.6)
|
0.1
|
Crude Oil (1mth)
|
59.6
|
11.9
|
(1.4)
|
Gold
|
1,200.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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TOP STOCK PICKS
|
|
|
|
Buy rated large caps
|
|
Price
|
Target
|
Tenaga Nasional
|
|
12.86
|
16.00
|
Axiata
|
|
6.50
|
7.60
|
Genting Malaysia
|
|
4.15
|
4.60
|
Gamuda
|
|
5.00
|
6.00
|
SP Setia
|
|
3.27
|
4.07
|
MBM Resources
|
|
3.49
|
4.20
|
Inari Amertron
|
|
3.28
|
4.05
|
Vitrox
|
|
3.35
|
4.05
|
|
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