Friday, June 26, 2015

Daily FX Update, 26 June 2015

v  Nominal consumption in US records the strongest monthly increase since 2009 
v  Initial jobless claims rose marginally to 271,000 
v  Negotiations between Greece and its creditors remain deadlocked
v  Malaysia's unemployment rate holds steady
v  South Korean plans US$13.5 billion stimulus package to counter the outbreak of MERS
v  Both Taiwan and Philippine central bank leave their key interest rate unchanged                         
OVERNIGHT MARKET UPDATE:

·         Nominal consumption in US rose 0.9% m/m in May, the strongest monthly increase since 2009. A modest rise in personal incomes saw the saving rate ease to 5.1% from 5.4% in April. 
·         Initial jobless claims rose marginally to 271,000. But overall, jobless claims remain at low levels which are consistent with further declines in the unemployment rate and solid growth in non-farm payrolls.
·         The Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey rose to -9 in June following the reading of -13 in May. The index covers production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials costs.
·         Greece’s creditors believe the Greek proposals are overly reliant on tax increases and not enough on cost reduction. Creditors are demanding that Athens implements in full the 2010 pension reform law. From 1 July 2015, authorities must phase in reforms to save 0.25-0.5% of GDP this year and 1% from 2016 onwards.
·         The currency markets remain relatively upbeat. The USD was supported on the strong spending data. The EUR ignored a flotilla of Greek headlines, and CHF did a round trip on SNB commentary.   
·         Strong US consumption data eclipsed Greek concerns, with US 10-year Treasury yields rising for the third time in four days.    
·         The moves in US bourses have been modest, with the S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the DJIA down between 0.2% and 0.4%.     
·         Oil prices fell, with negative sentiment stemming from ample US crude inventory and record production weighed on investors. Price volatility slipped to the lowest in the past seven months. The EIA bimonthly report said reduced contango in Brent futures supported its view that the largest inventory builds of 2015 have already occurred.                             
Gold eased for the fifth straight session as traders were waiting for further news on Greece's negotiations with its creditors. Caution over the metal's longer-term outlook also weighed on interest of traders.


INDICATIVE MAJOR CURRENCIES

Last Close
 8.08 am Snapshot
       Bid                   Offer
Expected Ranges for Today
        Low                       High
USD/MYR
3.7575
3.7430
3.7770
3.7410
3.7860
JPY/MYR (100)
3.0403
3.0250
3.0590
3.0200
3.0800
SGD/MYR
2.7980
2.7820
2.8140
2.7800
2.8300
EUR/MYR
4.2107
4.1940
4.2270
4.1700
4.2600
AUD/MYR
2.9098
2.8880
2.9190
2.8700
2.9500
GBP/MYR
5.9132
5.9020
5.9330
5.8700
5.9900
USD/JPY
123.59
123.39
123.80
122.99
123.99
EUR/USD
1.1206
1.1040
1.1350
1.1140
1.1250
AUD/USD
0.7744
0.7570
0.7880
0.7680
0.7780
 

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