Published on 11 November 2014
RAM Ratings has upgraded the rating of
Premium Commerce Berhad’s (PCB) RM5 million Class B Notes Series 2013-A
(Class B Notes) from AA2 to AAA, while reaffirming the AAA rating of its
RM157 million outstanding Class A Notes Series 2013-A (Class A Notes)
(collectively known as the “2013-A Notes”). Both ratings have a stable
outlook. This transaction involves the securitisation of automobile
hire-purchase (HP) receivables from TC Capital Resources Sdn Bhd (TC
Cap) under PCB’s RM2 billion HP Receivables-backed MTN Programme. TC Cap
is the HP financing arm of Tan Chong Motor Holdings Berhad (Tan Chong),
which in turn holds the sole rights for the assembly and distribution
of Nissan and Ultimate Dependability vehicles in Malaysia.
The upgraded rating of the Class B Notes is premised
on the better-than-expected performance of the securitised pool and the
deleveraging of the transaction, which had strengthened its collateral
coverage. This coverage, in the form of overcollateralisation (OC),
provides sufficient protection against the risk of prepayments and
defaults under the “AAA” stress rating scenario. As at end-August 2014,
the respective OC ratios of the Class A and Class B Notes had improved
from 10.15% and 7.11% to 12.70% and 9.23%, respectively. The OC was
supported by a principal balance of RM158.97 million on the HP
receivables and RM17.97 million of available cash.
The cumulative net default rate of HP receivables
under the 2013-A Notes stood at 0.01% as at 31 August 2014, below our
base-case rate of 0.56%. The monthly prepayment rate, however, averaged
0.19%, versus our low-prepayment-rate assumption of 0.3%. While the low
prepayment rates could potentially introduce liquidity risk to the
transaction, this risk is moderated by the lower-than-expected default
rates of the portfolio.
The ratings are further supported by the
transaction’s legal and payment structures. These include a pass-through
mechanism which reduces any potential negative carry arising from low
reinvestment returns, and a RM1 million Liquidity Facility Reserve that
acts as a buffer to cover shortfalls in senior expenses and coupon
payments on the Class A Notes.
Meanwhile, the portfolio is heavily concentrated in
loans backed by the Almera vehicle model (66% of the total principal
balance). Given that the car model’s target market could potentially be
more sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as inflation and interest
rate, the Notes is more susceptible to deterioration in asset quality.
That said, we understand that Tan Chong has been selective in approving
Almera loans.
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