Published on 14 November 2014
RAM Ratings has assigned AAA/stable rating to
the State Government of Sabah's RM1 billion Bonds (2014/2019). Part of
the proceeds from the proposed RM1.0 billion Bonds will be used to
refinance the State’s existing RM544 million Bonds (rated AAA/stable),
which will mature in December 2014; the balance will be used to support
the State Government’s development agenda. The assigned issue-specific
rating is based on our opinion that under the Constitution of Malaysia,
any borrowing by state governments is subject to the Federal
Government’s approval. This approval underscores the implicit support of
the Federal Government and reflects its role as the lender of last
resort in the spirit of the Federation.
As the proposed RM1.0 billion Bonds issuance have
been approved by the Ministry of Finance, its rating is equated with
that of the Federal Government. Furthermore, in line with our rating
criteria and methodology, Rating Malaysian State Governments
(published in June 2014), we also analyse Sabah’s economic and budgetary
performance, which are strong and supportive of its debt-servicing
ability.
Home to key commodities in Malaysia, Sabah produces
30.1% of the country’s CPO and contributes about 60% of the nation’s
total export value of crude oil. These rich endowments of natural
resources have contributed significantly to the State’s economy.
According to the recent State budget announcement, 2015 GDP growth is
expected to clock in between 4.5% - 5%. Although Sabah is a
commodities-centric economy, we note that strong domestic demand and the
relatively sustainable global demand for primary commodities provided
some resilience to Sabah’s economy.
Moreover, Sabah’s stronger revenue-generating ability
compared to its counterparts in Peninsular Malaysia is another rating
positive. Under the Constitution, the State Government of Sabah is
accorded additional revenue sources, including entitlement to yearly
cash payments from national oil giant Petronas. The expectation of a
budget surplus in 2015 reinforced our view on Sabah’s healthy fiscal
position. Additionally, the State’s sturdy liquidity position – where
reserves are able to cover at least 6 months’ expenditure – moderates
any short-term risk.
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