STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
V.S. Industry : Strong growth trajectory
underway BUY
We maintain our BUY call on V.S. Industry (VSI) with a
higher SOP-based TP of RM1.90, based on: (i) higher target PER of 13x (from
12x) on FY18F EPS to reflect its higher growth prospect going forward. Its
premium valuation over its peers is justified by its higher earnings CAGR of
24% (vs peers' average of 12.8%); and (ii) earnings revision of +2% for FY18F
as we tweak our box-build sales volume assumption higher by 7%. Its share price
has risen 12% since our initiation end-Jan'17, yet we think the rally still has
legs – supported by strong earnings visibility in the coming quarters from the
ramp-up in orders for Customer X and notably, a convincing turnaround of its China
operations. Opportunities for higher box-build orders from Customer X would
provide fresh catalyst for earnings upgrade. We expect VSI's upcoming 2QFY17F
core profit to be stronger YoY, mainly driven by higher revenue contribution
from Customer X and Perfect China.
VSI's 43.6%-owned subsidiary, VS International Group (VSIG)
recently announced that it is expected to record 10x increase in net profit for
1HFY17F (1HFY16: RMB1.12mil). This suggests that China operations have turned a
corner in 2QFY17 (1QFY17 PBT loss: RM4.9mil), and based on our
back-of–the-envelope estimates, this would translate to approx RM3mil in net
profit to VSI in 1HFY17F. Recall that Perfect China has awarded a RMB400mil or
approx. RM242mil contract to VSIG to manufacture a new purifier model for the
Chinese market in 2016. We expect VSI to see rising orders from Customer X,
which may possibly include a new product category and an enhanced version of
the existing product category in FY18F. This would position VSI for a bigger
play to tap Customer X's worldwide success and would present fresh catalyst to
our earnings forecast. VSI remains the only VI-supplier for Customer X in
Malaysia, which puts the group in a sweet spot to see stronger order flow.
Others :
Media Prima : New acts to stay on prime
time BUY
QUICK TAKE
Plantation Sector : Key takeaways from palm oil conference –
Day 1 NEUTRAL
STOCKS ON THE RADAR
Samchem Holdings,Bumi Armada,Bioalpha Holdings,Gamuda
ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
Philippines : Inflationary pressure remains strong
Euro : Challenging 2017
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
Telekom Malaysia : Inks agreement to deploy HSBB to more
than initial 1.3 million premises target
IT Sector : Mesiniaga cautious of RM8.23mil potential
liability if it loses civil suit
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