Thursday, March 2, 2017

February CPI Eased, Expect No Action On Interest Rates

Economic Research
2 March 2017
Thailand

Economic Update




Thailand’s CPI eased to +1.4% YoY in February, undermined by a sharp slowdown in fresh food price inflation. Going forward, we maintain our forecast for 2017 CPI to grow 1.5%, compared to +0.2% in 2016, underpinned by:
1.   Higher energy costs;
2.  Rising private consumption;
3.  Increase in property prices;
4.  Modest demand pull effect from the ramp up in infrastructure construction activities.
We do not expect the Bank of Thailand (BOT) to alter the policy rate in 2017, as CPI is expected to remain manageable, and with economic growth prospects still moderately positive.

Economist:  Ng Kee Chou  | +603 9280 2179

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