Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Coastal Contracts: Aborts Indonesia LNG venture. The group has aborted its plan to tap into Indonesia's liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chain after its proposed joint venture with an Indonesian firm fell through. This came after the memorandum of understanding (MoU) it inked in August with PT Jaya Samudra Karunia Gas Internasional and Yudha Kurniawan Tanos in relation to the purchase of a 49% stake in PT Jaya Samudra Karunia Gas (JSK Gas) — a Jakarta






Malaysia Aviation | New airport passenger service charges
Mohshin Aziz







Malaysia Banking | Downtrend arrested…
Desmond Ch'ng









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Malaysia | Stunted growth
Suhaimi Ilias








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SECTOR RESEARCH






Sector Note
by Mohshin Aziz


New airport passenger service charges





The new Passenger Service Charges (PSC) will take effect 1 Jan 2017 with the following rates: (i) domestic standardized to MYR11 (+22% hike), (ii) international from other airports at MYR73 (+3%) and from klia2 at MYR50 (+56%). Also, the introduction of PSC for ASEAN flights of MYR35. We view this as a pro-growth policy and balancing the rift between the full-service carriers (FSC) and low-cost carriers (LCC). Maintain BUY on MAHB and AirAsia, HOLD on AirAsia X.












Sector Note
by Desmond Ch'ng


Downtrend arrested…





Sep 2016 loan growth was stable at 4.2% YoY, which is a consolation, since growth has been down-trending since Aug 2015. On an annualized basis, growth of 3.6% does imply that our forecast of 5.3% for 2016 is optimistic at this stage. We forecast a similar growth rate of 5.3% for 2017. We maintain our BUY calls on BIMB, AFG and HL Bank.









MACRO RESEARCH






Economics Research
by Suhaimi Ilias


Stunted growth





Money supply (M3) growth eased slightly to +2.2% YoY in Sep 2016 (Aug 2016: +2.4% YoY) despite marginally higher determinants like deposit growth (Sep 2016: +1.3% YoY; Aug 2016: +1.0% YoY), net private sector financing growth (Sep 2016: +6.5% YoY; July 2016: +6.3% YoY) and external reserves (Sep 2016: USD97.7b; Aug 2016: USD97.5b). Higher base is a factor as Sep 2015’s M3 growth was +5.2% YoY vs Aug 2015’s +4.6% YoY.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S. Consumer spending in September climbs by most in three months, signaling momentum in the biggest part of the U.S. economy. The 0.5% advance in spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, followed a 0.1% decline the prior month that was revised lower, a Commerce Department report showed. While the results indicate a solid handoff into the final quarter of 2016, disposable income, or the inflation-adjusted money left over after taxes, was little changed for a second month, indicating wages will need to pick up to boost spending even more. Such support is needed to drive faster economic growth, which picked up last quarter despite softer household purchases. (Source: Bloomberg)

E.U: Inflation pickup comes with bad news for ECB. Euro-area inflation accelerated at the fastest pace in more than two years in October. But what looks like progress in stoking consumer prices actually contains some bad news for the European Central Bank. Policy makers including ECB chief economist Peter Praet have warned repeatedly that they're lacking convincing signs of underlying price pressures, and inflation data published proved them right. Digging deeper into the figures shows the core rate, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, fell to the lowest in six months. That's critical since the central bank views the measure as a guide for where headline inflation will settle. (Source: Bloomberg)

Thailand: Overseas investors are pulling money from stocks at the fastest pace this year. Foreign funds sold a net USD 514m of Thai equities last month, more than five times as much as from the Philippines, with the bulk of the outflows coming after the Oct. 13 death of King Bhumibol Adulyadej, who had been a source of political stability in a country wracked by numerous coups. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Ekovest: Obtains development order for MYR2.6b EkoGateway. The property development and infrastructure concession businesses, has obtained the Development Order (DO) for its MYR2.6b property project – EkoGateway @ KL River City, which spans across 14.5 acres in the northern region of Kuala Lumpur. The DO comprises three 42 storey service apartments, one 42 storey hotel and offices, two 36 storey serviced apartments and a 27 storey civil service housing block. Kuala Lumpur River City is a project that spans 3km along the Gombak River and is located 5km from the city’s golden triangle. Additionally, after the completion of this project, the government will allocate a total of MYR130m facilitation fund to Ekovest. (Source: The Sun Daily)

Coastal Contracts: Aborts Indonesia LNG venture. The group has aborted its plan to tap into Indonesia's liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chain after its proposed joint venture with an Indonesian firm fell through. This came after the memorandum of understanding (MoU) it inked in August with PT Jaya Samudra Karunia Gas Internasional and Yudha Kurniawan Tanos in relation to the purchase of a 49% stake in PT Jaya Samudra Karunia Gas (JSK Gas) — a Jakarta-based coal transporter — lapsed last Friday. It was supposed to fork out USD6.55m (MYR26.44m) for the stake. Under the deal, JSK Gas was to issue 1,500 new ordinary shares at an issue price of USD9,465 per share, which amounts to USD14.19m in total, to Coastal Contracts, subject to adjustment on completion. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

KPS: Shareholders give nod to Century Bond buy. Kumpulan Perangsang Selangor (KPS) has today received its shareholders' approval for the proposed acquisition of an approximately 71.44% stake in Century Bond, via its wholly-owned subsidiary Perangsang Packaging S/B, for MYR150.03m .Century Bond is involved in the manufacturing of cement bags and holds a 60% market share in Malaysia, as well as having a presence in Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand. The prooposed buy, together with a mandatory general offer it plans to make for the balance of the Century Bond shares, and a proposal to diversify its business into manufacturing , was met with shareholders’ approval at an extraordinary general meeting yesterday. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Infrastructure: East Coast Rail Link project to be built, funded by China. The East Coast Rail Link (ECRL), a 620km high-impact project under the 11th Malaysia Plan, will be built and funded by China, Treasury secretary-general Tan Sri Dr Mohd Irwan Serigar Abdullah confirmed today. The EPC contract will be awarded to China Communication Construction Company Ltd (CCCC) while the financing agreement will be with Export-Import Bank of China (EXIM). Mohd Irwan said when completed, the ECRL will make products from the East Coast more competitive due to cheaper transport costs, and raise the income of industries and businesses located along the rail link route. Mohd Irwan said the government hopes to finalise the ECRL by end of this year so that construction on the project can start in early 2017. (Source: New Straits Time)


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