- Malaysia
Strategy - Flood disaster
- Astra
Agro Lestari (AALI IJ)
- AirAsia
Bhd (AIRA MK)
|
Malaysia Strategy - Flood
disaster
|
Strategy
|
Flood disaster: Assessing the
impact
|
- Floods
in eastern Peninsular states have hit critical level.
- Restoration
to be costly, PLCs not materially affected.
- No
change in our stock, sector or market views/calls.
|
Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ)
|
At cruising speed
|
Share Price: IDR23,750 | Target
Price: IDR28,000 (+18%) | MCap (USD): 3.0B | ADTV (USD): 3M
|
- Maintain
BUY but lower TP to IDR28,000 (from IDR35,000) as we cut 2015F
earnings by 30.9%.
- Production
growth set to grow at 5%-10% CAGR over next three years as
planted areas entering maturity age are more than enough to
offset post-prime/replanting age.
- Still
one of the largest and better managed palm oil plantations in
Indonesia with good corporate governance and strong balance
sheet (near net cash).
|
AirAsia Bhd (AIRA MK)
|
Rest in peace flight QZ8501
|
Share Price: MYR2.74 | Target
Price: MYR3.25 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 2.2B | ADTV (USD): 7M
|
- Debris
and human bodies are spotted off the Straits of Karimata and
is confirmed to be that of flight QZ8501.
- Efforts
to retrieve all victims and search for the final resting place
of the aircraft is still on-going, should be fairly soon.
- Our
earnings forecasts for AirAsia, BUY call and target price
remain under review.
|
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