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Daily
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03
October 2014
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TOP VIEWS
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- MY
Property Sector | NEUTRAL
- Bloomberry
Resorts (BLOOM PM) | TP revision
- Bangkok
Bank (BBL TB) | Company update
- Prosperity
REIT (808 HK) | Company visit
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MY Property Sector
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Going �South�
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Sector update
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- New
foreign entrants raise fears of a housing glut in Iskandar
Malaysia (IM).
- Ability
to absorb ample incoming supply of high-rise condominiums and
retail space by end-2015/2016 remains our key concern.
- Maintain
NEUTRAL; we prefer Klang Valley over IM. Top pick is Eco World
(BUY; MYR6.59 TP).
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Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)
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Placing more bets
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Share Price: PHP13.20 | Target
Price: PHP15.70 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 3.1B | ADTV (USD): 3M
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- Maintain
BUY, raise 2016F profit to PHP9.7b and TP to PHP15.70.
- Phase
1A will more than double BLOOM�s VIP
gaming tables to 264 and increase slot machines 34% to 1,941
in 2016.
- 2016F
profit raised 13% as a result.
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Bangkok Bank (BBL TB)
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Loan demand should rebound in 4Q
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Share Price: THB201.00 | Target
Price: THB240.00 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 12.1B | ADTV (USD): 35M
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- Maintain
BUY and TP of THB240, implying 1.3x 2015 P/BV and 12% ROE.
- Estimate
3Q14F earnings to down 4%YoY and 5%QoQ to THB8.6bn due to weak
loan growth and higher provisions
- Maintain
5% loan growth this year given the seasonally strong business
loan demand in 4Q14
- (Full
report will be out soon)
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Prosperity REIT (808 HK)
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NDR: Refinancing, rental outlook
key
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Share Price: HKD2.41 | Target
Price: HKD2.86 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 439M | ADTV (USD): 0.6M
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- Took
PREIT to see 9 investors in Malaysia on Monday; overall
feedback is mixed. Investors positive on PREIT like its stable
growth and good distribution yield, but some worry about
impact of higher refi costs w/ some debt maturing Aug 2015, US
rate hike risks + upcoming office supply in Kowloon East.
- Company
maintained its rental reversion outlook for 2015 at
double-digit percentage. Valuation looks attractive to us at
6.9% for 2015F. Maintain BUY, TP HKD2.86 from our DDM.
- For
its overall portfolio, there�s
18.5% lease expiry in 2H14, followed by 37.5% in 2015, and
rest in 2016 and beyond. A notable event would be whether
Canon renews it lease next year, as it is PREIT�s largest client at 6% of
portfolio GRI.
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COMPANY NOTES
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- Hong
Kong Banks | NEUTRAL
- Indofood
CBP (ICBP IJ) | Company update
- Genting
Singapore | Company update
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Hong Kong Banks
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Aug14: Disciplined loan growth
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Sector update
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- Disciplined
loan growth & cautious loan mix. Keep NEUTRAL
- Stable
HKD LDR and potential rebound in RMB deposits
- Seasonal
easing in HKD funding costs will help 2H14 NIM
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Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ)
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On the right track
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Share Price: IDR11,200 | Target
Price: IDR12,500 (+12%) | MCap (USD): 5.4B | ADTV (USD): 3M
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- Reiterate
HOLD as growth potential has been priced in at current
valuation, in our view. Our TP of IDR12,500 implies 24x
PERFY15F.
- Strong
revenue growth expected for snacks and beverages on current
low base and the company�s
focus on increasing market share, but we think profitability
is yet to be visible.
- Lower
raw material costs may help ease margin pressure in the dairy
business and balance the margin dilution impact.
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Genting Singapore
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Slow at home, sights abroad
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Share Price: SGD1.12 | Target
Price: SGD1.13 (+1%) | MCap (USD): 10.7B | ADTV (USD): 15M
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- VIP
volumes may worsen before recovering. Mass-market GGR may ease
on sliding property prices. Cut EBITDA by 1-16%.
- Maintain
HOLD. TP down 9% to SGD1.13, now on 9x FY15E EV/EBITDA (from
10x), in view of slower earnings growth.
- Still,
valuations not demanding against peers. May also venture into
Japan soon.
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