Friday, October 3, 2014

Regional Daily, Maybank KE (2014-10-03)


Daily
03 October 2014
TOP VIEWS
  • MY Property Sector | NEUTRAL
  • Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) | TP revision
  • Bangkok Bank (BBL TB) | Company update
  • Prosperity REIT (808 HK) | Company visit
MY Property Sector
Going South
Sector update
  • New foreign entrants raise fears of a housing glut in Iskandar Malaysia (IM).
  • Ability to absorb ample incoming supply of high-rise condominiums and retail space by end-2015/2016 remains our key concern.
  • Maintain NEUTRAL; we prefer Klang Valley over IM. Top pick is Eco World (BUY; MYR6.59 TP).
Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)
Placing more bets
Share Price: PHP13.20 | Target Price: PHP15.70 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 3.1B | ADTV (USD): 3M
  • Maintain BUY, raise 2016F profit to PHP9.7b and TP to PHP15.70.
  • Phase 1A will more than double BLOOMs VIP gaming tables to 264 and increase slot machines 34% to 1,941 in 2016.
  • 2016F profit raised 13% as a result.
Bangkok Bank (BBL TB)
Loan demand should rebound in 4Q
Share Price: THB201.00 | Target Price: THB240.00 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 12.1B | ADTV (USD): 35M
  • Maintain BUY and TP of THB240, implying 1.3x 2015 P/BV and 12% ROE.
  • Estimate 3Q14F earnings to down 4%YoY and 5%QoQ to THB8.6bn due to weak loan growth and higher provisions
  • Maintain 5% loan growth this year given the seasonally strong business loan demand in 4Q14
  • (Full report will be out soon)
Prosperity REIT (808 HK)
NDR: Refinancing, rental outlook key
Share Price: HKD2.41 | Target Price: HKD2.86 (+19%) | MCap (USD): 439M | ADTV (USD): 0.6M
  • Took PREIT to see 9 investors in Malaysia on Monday; overall feedback is mixed. Investors positive on PREIT like its stable growth and good distribution yield, but some worry about impact of higher refi costs w/ some debt maturing Aug 2015, US rate hike risks + upcoming office supply in Kowloon East.
  • Company maintained its rental reversion outlook for 2015 at double-digit percentage. Valuation looks attractive to us at 6.9% for 2015F. Maintain BUY, TP HKD2.86 from our DDM.
  • For its overall portfolio, theres 18.5% lease expiry in 2H14, followed by 37.5% in 2015, and rest in 2016 and beyond. A notable event would be whether Canon renews it lease next year, as it is PREITs largest client at 6% of portfolio GRI.
COMPANY NOTES
  • Hong Kong Banks | NEUTRAL
  • Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ) | Company update
  • Genting Singapore | Company update
Hong Kong Banks
Aug14: Disciplined loan growth
Sector update
  • Disciplined loan growth & cautious loan mix. Keep NEUTRAL
  • Stable HKD LDR and potential rebound in RMB deposits
  • Seasonal easing in HKD funding costs will help 2H14 NIM
Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ)
On the right track
Share Price: IDR11,200 | Target Price: IDR12,500 (+12%) | MCap (USD): 5.4B | ADTV (USD): 3M
  • Reiterate HOLD as growth potential has been priced in at current valuation, in our view. Our TP of IDR12,500 implies 24x PERFY15F.
  • Strong revenue growth expected for snacks and beverages on current low base and the companys focus on increasing market share, but we think profitability is yet to be visible.
  • Lower raw material costs may help ease margin pressure in the dairy business and balance the margin dilution impact.
Genting Singapore
Slow at home, sights abroad
Share Price: SGD1.12 | Target Price: SGD1.13 (+1%) | MCap (USD): 10.7B | ADTV (USD): 15M
  • VIP volumes may worsen before recovering. Mass-market GGR may ease on sliding property prices. Cut EBITDA by 1-16%.
  • Maintain HOLD. TP down 9% to SGD1.13, now on 9x FY15E EV/EBITDA (from 10x), in view of slower earnings growth.
  • Still, valuations not demanding against peers. May also venture into Japan soon.

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