Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Regional Daily, Maybank KE (2014-06-11)



Daily
11 June 2014
TOP VIEWS
  • Vingroup JSC (VIC VN) | Initiation
  • Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ) | Rating Change
  • Eco World Development (ECW MK) | Company Visit
  • Sri Rejeki Isman (SRIL IJ) | Company Visit
Vingroup JSC (VIC VN) | Initiation
Vietnams premier developer
Share Price: VND65,500 | Target Price: VND78,900 (+20%) | MCap (USD): 2.5B | ADTV (USD): 1.7M
  • Initiate at BUY on under-researched and liquid stock with TP of VND78,900 (20% upside). Fifth-largest index member.
  • We think the market often overlooks VICs potential due to concerns about its large and complex structure. Our review of its corporate governance practices and key risks is encouraging.
  • VIC is one of the easier stocks for foreign investors to buy with high liquidity and sufficient room for foreign ownership.
Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ) | Rating Change
One step ahead; upgrade to BUY
Share Price: IDR1,030 | Target Price: IDR1,200(+17%) | MCap (USD): 2.1B | ADTV (USD): 8M
  • Upgrade to BUY with revised TP of IDR1,200 (from IDR900)implying 41% discount to RNAV of IDR2,040. Translates to 14.9x P/E and 1.8x P/B FY15F.
  • Recently unveiled two mega projects in Lippo Village and Lippo Cikarang. Aims to accelerate the monetization of its land bank in the two townships.
  • Plans to expand its hotel business by building and operating 50 new hotels by 2020.
Eco World Development (ECW MK) | Company Visit
Its showtime
Share Price: MYR5.04 | Target Price: MYR6.40 (+27%) | MCap (USD): 0.4B | ADTV (USD): 1.4M
  • Likely to exceed its MYR2b internal sales target for FY10/14.
  • Sales and profit delivery are key focus for investors over the medium-term.
  • Maintain earnings forecasts, MYR6.40 TP (0.84x P/RNAV). ECW is our top BUY for the property sector.
Sri Rejeki Isman (SRIL IJ) | Company Visit
Conference call feedback
Share Price: IDR198 | Target Price: IDR333(+68%) | MCap (USD): 313M | ADTV (USD): 1M
  • We hosted a conference call with senior management for 17 investors. Maintain BUY with IDR333 TP (14x FY14E P/E).
  • Uncertainties of the past few months have settled. Capacity expansion, customer traction are in line with expectations.
  • Catalysts include higher-than-expected margins on more lucrative military business and major new customer wins.
COMPANY NOTES
  • Regional Plantations | NEUTRAL
  • Nickel Asia (NIKL PM) | HOLD
  • A. Soriano (ANS PM) | HOLD
  • SIA Engineering (SIE SP) | BUY
Regional Plantations
Inventory on a rise
Sector update
  • Strong production and relatively muted exports led to higher inventory in May 2014.
  • CPO price now trades at ~MYR2,400/t on weakened fundamentals, but within our expectations.
  • Maintain 12M NEUTRAL view. Key upside risk to our view is the return of a strong El Nio.
Nickel Asia (NIKL PM)
An early preview of 1H14
Share Price: PHP28.30 | Target Price: PHP27.62(-2%) | MCap (USD): 1.6B | ADTV (USD): 2M
  • Maintain HOLD with TP of PHP27.62 as AGM disclosures point to 1H14 earnings of PHP3.1b and strong likelihood of hitting our full-year forecast of PHP8.5b.
  • Shift in NPI preference resulting in higher prices for lower-grade limonite while high-grade saprolite prices drop.
  • Management hints at special cash/stock dividends in 2H14.
  • (FULL REPORT WILL BE OUT SOON)
A. Soriano (ANS PM)
1Q profits surge on trading gains
Share Price: PHP7.00 | Target Price: PHP7.76(+11%) | MCap (USD): 401M | ADTV (USD): 0.1M
  • 1Q14 profits surprise, jumping 94% YoY to PHP1.09b, accounting for 85% of our FY estimate.
  • Trading gains, mostly on sale of AFS investments, reach PHP987m, up 120%.
  • Maintain HOLD with increased TP to PHP7.76 factoring in higher end-1Q14 balance of investment portfolio.
  • (FULL REPORT WILL BE OUT SOON)
SIA Engineering (SIE SP)
NDR feedback
Share Price: SGD5.06 | Target Price: SGD5.75(+14%) | MCap (USD): 4.5B | ADTV (USD): 1M
  • Operational efficiency to compensate for labour cost pressure in Singapore. Fairly low threat of new entrants despite growing Line maintenance market at Changi Airport.
  • Remain positive after the non-deal roadshow and reiterate our view that SIAEC offers the best proxy to the structural air traffic growth in the region.
  • Maintain BUY with TP of SGD5.75.

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