Results Note � Felda Global Ventures
(ADD, downgrade)
- A weak quarter, below expectations
FGV�s 1QFY14 revenue and PBT were boosted by higher CPO ASP,
better OER and the inclusion of results of FHB, moderated by lower FFB and
CPO production as well as lower profits from the Sugar and MLO, and losses in
Downstream. Adjusted for forex and other one-off items, 1QFY14 core net
profit however was below our expectations. We cut our FY14, FY15 and FY16
forecasts by11.3%, 9.0% and 3.8% respectively after cutting our estimates for
FFB production growth as well as profit contributions from Sugar, MLO and
Downstream. CPO ASP assumptions remain unchanged at RM2,700/MT for 2014 and
RM2,850/MT for 2015-16. Based on the lowered FY15 EPS forecast plus a 4.4 sen
enhancement from the investment of its massive cash reserve (RM4,923m as at
end-1QFY14) and an unchanged PE target of 16x, target price is cut to RM5.16.
At current price, we downgrade our rating for the stock from BUY to ADD.
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