MARKET STRATEGY
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Malaysia Strategy: Maintain Neutral
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1Q15
results roundup: Slow start
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- 1Q15
core net profit up just 1.8% YoY, down 1.1% QoQ.
- KLCI
core earnings growth forecasts slower at 5.2% for 2015, slightly
higher at 9.7% for 2016.
- Maintain
our KLCI target; oil & gas/port sectors downgraded; we
continue to advocate a defensive strategy into 3Q15.
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Technicals
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Downward
volatility to persist
The FBMKLCI fell 4.11 points to 1,743.41 yesterday, while the FBMEMAS
and FBM100 also closed lower by 14.35 points and 15.96 points, respectively.
We recommend a �Sell on
Rallies� stance for
the index.
Trading idea is a Take Profit call on PBA with downside target areas
at MYR1.03 & MYR0.96.
Click here for full report »
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Other Local News
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Plantation:
Malaysian palm price soars nearly 4%, lifted by soy markets. Malaysian
palm oil futures rallied nearly 4% to their highest in 2.5 months on
Monday, tracking a jump in overseas soy oil markets and further
underpinned by strong exports for the month of May. A weak Malaysian
currency also stoked buying interest in the ringgit-priced feedstock.
The MYR slid to 3.68 per USD, its weakest in almost seven weeks, on
concerns that lower crude oil may hurt the country's trade and fiscal
accounts. (Source: The Star)
Plantation: Dolphin International IPO oversubscribed 6.17 times.
It said a total of 4.47 applicants for 107.6m IPO shares were
received from the Malaysian public, for a total of 15m IPO shares.
7.5m IPO shares had been set aside for allotment under the bumiputera
category, which represents 50% of the shares offered for public
subscription, while the balance of 7.5m shares were allotted under
the public category. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
Bank Islam: Eyes MYR2b fund size. Bank Islam is aiming for a
fund size of MYR2b for the newly launched Waheed Investment Account
(WIA Wakalah) and Special Investment Account(Mudarabah) products
under the Term Investment Account over the next six months. Another
account also launched today was the Al-Awfar Account. The bank also
plans to maintain a MYR2b fund size under its Transactional
Investment Account, with 1.2m account holders for Al-Awfar Account,
which targets individual and retail institutions. (Source: The Star)
WZ Satu: Bags MYR58.2m Kuantan Port expansion project. WZ Satu
Bhd's wholly-owned unit, WZS KenKeong Sdn Bhd, has clinched a
subcontract worth MYR58.2m for works related to the expansion of
Kuantan Port. The subcontract entails the construction of a bridge to
Kuantan Port, with the scope of works including earthworks,
infrastructure works, street lighting services, relocation of
utilities services and landscaping works. The construction period for
the project is 120 weeks. (Source: The Sun Daily)
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Outside Malaysia
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U.S:
Factories in May grow more than forecast on stronger orders. The
Institute for Supply Management's factory index rose to a three-month
high of 52.8 from 51.5 in April, figures from the Tempe,
Arizona-based group showed. The pickup in bookings and the strongest
reading for order backlogs since November point to production gains
that will probably help the economy bounce back after shrinking last
quarter. While two months of improved business investment and the end
of a labor dispute at West Coast ports are allowing manufacturing to
stabilize, progress may be halting as a strong dollar hampers export
sales. (Source: Bloomberg)
E.U: Manufacturing grew at a "modest" pace in May
and factories struggled to respond to rising costs with price
increases. Markit Economics said its Purchasing Managers Index for
the 19-nation region rose to 52.2 from 52 in April. While that's
above the key 50 mark that divides expansion from contraction, it's
below the initially reported reading of 52.3. Manufacturing has
expanded for 23 consecutive months, and a rebound in oil prices and a
weaker euro are boosting input costs by the most in three years.
Nevertheless, the Markit report indicated that companies' margins are
being squeezed, with an index of output prices slipping to 50 from
50.1. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.K: Manufacturing expanded less than forecast in May as
producers struggled to attract demand from foreign markets. A factory
Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 52 from a revised 51.8 in April,
Markit Economics said. The report highlights Britain's reliance on
domestic demand while an economic recovery has yet to gain momentum
in Europe, its biggest trading partner. (Source: Bloomberg)
China: Factory gauge shows sign of stabilization after easing.
A Chinese factory gauge rose last month, suggesting the government's
monetary easing and relaxation of fiscal rules have helped cushion
the economy. The official manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index
was at 50.2 in May, according to the statistics bureau and the China
Federation of Logistics and Purchasing in Beijing. Numbers above 50
signal expansion. (Source: Bloomberg)
S. Korea: Exports fell the most in almost six years in May,
underscoring concern that the slump in overseas sales is harming a
recovery in Asia's fourth-biggest economy. Shipments slid 10.9% YoY,
the fifth straight monthly decline, the Ministry of Trade, Industry
and Energy said. Imports fell 15.3% YoY and the trade surplus was USD
6.32b. (Source: Bloomberg)
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Key Indices
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Value
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YTD
(%)
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Daily
(%)
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KLCI
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1,743.4
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(1.0)
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(0.2)
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JCI
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5,213.8
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(0.3)
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(0.0)
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STI
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3,392.1
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0.8
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0.0
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SET
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1,496.1
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(0.1)
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0.0
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HSI
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27,597.2
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16.9
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0.6
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KOSPI
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2,102.4
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9.8
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(0.6)
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TWSE
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9,625.7
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3.4
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(0.8)
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DJIA
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18,040.4
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1.2
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0.2
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S&P
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2,111.7
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2.6
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0.2
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FTSE
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6,953.6
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5.9
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(0.4)
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MYR/USD
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3.686
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5.4
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0.5
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CPO (1mth)
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2,270.0
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(0.9)
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4.6
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Crude Oil (1mth)
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60.2
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13.0
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(0.2)
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Gold
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1,189.2
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0.4
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(0.1)
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TOP STOCK PICKS
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Buy rated large caps
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Price
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Target
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Tenaga Nasional
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13.40
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16.00
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Axiata
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6.33
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7.60
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Genting Malaysia
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4.24
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4.60
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Gamuda
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4.99
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6.00
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SP Setia
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3.36
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4.07
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MBM Resources
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3.40
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4.20
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Inari Amertron
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3.53
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4.05
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Vitrox
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3.39
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4.05
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