Tuesday, December 30, 2014

RAM Ratings reaffirms Hong Leong Assurance’s AA2/P1 claims-paying ability ratings


Published on 29 December 2014
RAM Ratings has reaffirmed the AA2/stable/P1 claims-paying ability (CPA) ratings of Hong Leong Assurance Berhad (HLA or the Insurer). Concurrently, we have reaffirmed the AA3/stable rating of the Insurer’s RM500 million Subordinated Notes Programme. The Subordinated Notes Programme is rated 1 notch below HLA’s long-term CPA rating to reflect its status as unsecured and subordinated obligations of the Insurer, that qualify as tier-2 capital under Bank Negara Malaysia’s Risk-Based Capital Framework for Insurers. The reaffirmation is premised on the continued improvement in HLA’s financial metrics, on account of its sturdy operating performance  underpinned by the healthy growth of its new business income, distribution synergies with Hong Leong Bank Berhad (rated AA1/Stable/P1 by RAM Ratings), and commendable capitalisation.
In FY Jun 2014, HLA’s pre-tax profit more than doubled to RM277.5 million despite slightly slower premium growth. In the last 2 years, HLA has shifted to a profit-focused strategy by underwriting investment-linked products that are in demand and yield broader margins. This, coupled with the repricing of some key par products and improved operating efficiencies, have lifted HLA’s top and bottom lines; its ROA of 2.6% compares favourably with the peer median of 2.2%. This healthy profitability and surplus build-up underpin HLA’s strong capitalisation; its capital-adequacy ratio (CAR) stood at 233% as at end-June 2014. Meanwhile, the Insurer has maintained its earnings quality by strategically targeting regular-premium over single-premium products, as evidenced by its high persistency ratio of 98% over the past 3 years.
HLA remains a mid-sized life insurer; it ranks fourth among 14 Malaysian life and composite insurers in terms of weighted new business premiums, accounting for 11.4% of the market in 3Q 2014. Although HLA has strengthened its market presence through portfolio expansion, it is still some distance from the market leaders. That said, we expect HLA to maintain its franchise and market position, supported by a strong management team and leveraging on the distribution network of Hong Leong Bank. Bancassurance is also set to expand further, anchoring a 20% premium growth targeted for fiscal 2015.
Sustained improvement in HLA’s scale of operations, without compromising its earnings quality or capitalisation, would lend support to a rating upgrade. Conversely, any deterioration in the growth of new business premiums, substantial investment losses or aggressive expansion at the expense of pricing would pressure HLA’s rating, as would the weakening of the Insurer’s CAR below 200%.

Media contact
Siew Shwu Ying
(603) 7628 1071
shwuying@ram.com.my

Monday, December 29, 2014

EPICENTRE - 2014 - A Landmark Year for Global Islamic Finance Industry.

MIFC Epicentre
December 2014 / Rabiul Awal 1436H

Islamic finance is gearing up to more sustainable growth trajectory amid more sophisticated regulatory framework and innovative products. The global Islamic finance industry has seen some key developments in 2014, as the industry achieved several milestones and continues to move towards greater sustainability and providing a wider range of financial services.


OTHER HIGHLIGHTS:
The Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) Admits Five Organisations into Its Membership
The Council of the Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) has resolved to approve the applications of five financial institutions as Observer Members of the IFSB. The 25th Meeting of the IFSB Council was chaired by H.E. Yusof Abd Rahman, Managing Director, Autoriti Monetari Brunei Darussalam and attended by 15 governors and governors’ representatives from among the members of the Council, the President of the Islamic Development Bank and senior representatives of seven Full Members of the IFSB.
READ MORE HERE
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DISCLAIMER :The copyright and any other rights in the selection, coordination, arrangement and enhancement of the information in this electronic newsletter are owned by Bank Negara Malaysia. No part of this electronic newsletter may be modified, reproduced or published without prior permission in writing from Bank Negara Malaysia and the relevant copyright owner. Although every effort has been made to ensure the timeliness, accuracy, adequacy and completeness of this electronic newsletter, Bank Negara Malaysia accepts no responsibility or liability for errors or omissions, if any. The information contained in this electronic newsletter is only up-to-date at the time of transmission, and is not exhaustive and may be updated from time to time on the website: www.mifc.com. Bank Negara Malaysia shall not be liable for loss or damage caused by viruses transmitted by this electronic newsletter. Bank Negara Malaysia is not responsible for any unauthorised changes made to the information in this electronic newsletter or for the effect of such changes. Bank Negara Malaysia appreciates any feedback or suggestions for improvement.

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Friday, December 26, 2014

MARC AFFIRMS RATINGS ON RCE ADVANCE SDN BHD'S RM420.0 MILLION FIXED RATE MTN PROGRAMME; OUTLOOK REVISED TO NEGATIVE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE



MARC has affirmed A+, A and BBB+ ratings on RCE Advance Sdn Bhd’s (RCEA) outstanding Class A, Class B and Class C notes of RM45 million, RM35 million and RM60 million respectively under its RM420 million Fixed Rated Medium Term Notes (MTN) Programme. The outlook on the ratings is revised to negative from stable.

RCEA acquired six collateral pools consisting of identified eligible receivables (IER) from its parent company, RCE Marketing Sdn Bhd (RCEM) from the proceeds from the rated MTN programme. The IER pool comprises solely of personal loans granted to government servants who are members of Koperasi Wawasan Pekerja-Pekerja Berhad (KOWAJA). The monthly instalments which are made via direct salary deductions from government servants form the source of coupon and principal repayments of the MTN Programme.

The ratings on the Class A and Class B notes of A+ and A incorporate the credit support provided by the collateral pool and RCEM’s standalone credit profile. The credit support is in the form of an undertaking by RCEM to replace defaulted and prepaid IER and/or provide funds to maintain a three-month coverage ratio of at least 1.66 times on the collateral backing the notes. As a result Class A and Class B notes receive a two-notch and one-notch rating uplift respectively above MARC’s corporate credit rating (CCR) on RCEM of A-. The Class C notes continue to be rated one-notch below RCEM’s CCR to reflect its subordination to Class A and Class B notes in respect of coupon and principal repayments. The rated notes benefit from an irrevocable corporate guarantee from ultimate parent RCE Capital Berhad (RCE Capital) which relies on RCEM for more than 90% of its consolidated revenue. In view of the significant credit linkages between the notes and RCEM, the ratings of the notes are sensitive to changes in the credit strength of RCEM.

The negative outlook on the ratings reflect RCEM’s weakening standalone credit profile. RCEM which provides personal financing mainly through tie-ups with cooperatives has been affected by the changing dynamics of the personal loan financing segment. For financial year ended March 31, 2014 (FY2014), RCEM’s net interest income contracted by 22.2% y-o-y to RM90.0 million as a result of tighter financing regulations which had led to a slowdown in lending and loan refinancing activities. RCEM’s profitability remains subdued with net interest margin continuing to decrease to 7.08% (FY2013: 8.56%) in FY2014. In addition, with the hike in overnight policy rate by Bank Negara Malaysia in July 2014, RCEM is expected to experience further margin compression given its reliance on borrowings to generate loans. The company’s net gearing was higher at RM285.4 million (FY2013: RM252.6 million) in FY2014. 

While RCEM has substitutable loan receivables of over RM200 million for the collateral pool, MARC remains concerned over RCEM’s shrinking loan book over the past five financial years, which may exert pressure on the company’s loan origination and substitution capabilities. For the period under review (October 2013 – September 2014), RCEM provided RM10.9 million (last review: RM39.8 million) worth of new performing IER to the collateral pool. During the period under review, RCEA’s actual collections of RM29.6 million exceeded the projected collections of RM26.8 million due to early prepayments. The prepayment rate for the period under review was higher at 1.72% (last review: 0.58%) as a result of in-house refinancing.

The average monthly delinquency and default rates remained low at 0.03% and 0.28% respectively. As at September 30, 2014, the collateral pool which consists of 5,324 loans totalling RM108.9 million remained in compliance with the minimum three-month collateral coverage. The current cash balance of RM26.4 million in the designed accounts covers more than 50% of the profit servicing and principal redemptions on the rated notes of about RM45.4 million for the period between October 1, 2014 and September 30, 2015. In the event of insufficient funds to meet note obligations, the security trustee on behalf of noteholders has the right to exercise the power of attorney to dispose the collateral assets. The rating agency expects the performance of the collateral pools to be supported by the at-source salary deductions of government servants.

The ratings of the notes could be lowered over the next six to 12 months should there be further erosion in RCEM’s key financial metrics, particularly its net interest income and margin, liquidity buffer and/or capital adequacy measures. Conversely, the rating outlook could revert to stable if RCEM demonstrates meaningful improvement in its business and financial profiles to a level that would commensurate with its current rating band.

Contacts: Ng Chun Kean, +603-2082 2230/ chunkean@marc.com.my; David Lee, +603-2082 2255/ david@marc.com.my.

December 26, 2014

AmWatch - TSH Resources : Getting land in Kalabakan through related company, 26 Dec 2014

STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
TSH Resources : Getting land in Kalabakan through related company     Hold

TSH Resources Bhd has proposed to acquire a 70% stake in Rinukut Sdn Bhd from TSH Ventures Sdn Bhd for RM18.6mil.  TSH Ventures is a private company owned by the directors of TSH. Rinukut has a 60% stake in Rinukut Plantations Sdn Bhd. The other shareholder of Rinukut Plantations is Rakyat Berjaya Sdn Bhd. There were no details on Rakyat Berjaya Sdn Bhd.
TSH is not expected to face problems in financing the acquisition cost of RM18.6mil. As at end-September 2014, the group’s gross cash was RM55.8mil.  In December 2013, TSH had proposed to acquire a 60% stake in a company, which owns 26,794ha of land in Kalabakan, Sabah, for RM180mil. The transaction was called off in July 2014 due to non-fulfilment of certain conditions. The seller of the 60% stake was Ratu Awansari Sdn Bhd. The directors of Ratu Awansari were individuals.  Maintain HOLD on TSH.

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
Parkson Holdings : Buying land in Malacca for RM93mil
Power Sector: Mega solar power plan
Automotive Sector : MAI sees local carmakers gaining market share

DISCLAIMER:
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by AmResearch Sdn Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of AmResearch Sdn Bhd may from time to time have a position in or with the securities mentioned herein. Members of the AmInvestment Group and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice.


Wednesday, December 24, 2014

FW: RHB FIC Credit Market Update - 24/12/14

24 December 2014


Credit Market Update



Yields Pressured Following Stronger US 3Q GDP Print; Hold USD BOC 11/24 B3T2



REGIONAL

¨      Yields headed north amid sapped liquidity. Liquidity thinned ahead of Christmas holidays with a large number of USD credits staying flattish. On USD papers that were traded in Asia, we saw generally higher yields with investors adjusting their positions ahead of the seasonal holidays. In the HK/CN space, papers like CNOOC 23, YUEXIU 23 and CHOHIN 20 subdebt inched wider. Elsewhere, we saw BBLTB 18, TEMASE 23 and PSASP 21 widening marginally. JACI IG and HY spreads inched a tad tighter to 192bps (-1bp) and 539bps (-2bps) respectively amid a spike in UST yields (+8bps to +11bps) following stronger US 3Q GDP (actual: 5.0%, consensus: 4.3%). iTraxx AxJ narrowed 1bp to 104bps.

¨      Light general trading; Nov CPI prints marginally lower than expectations. We saw mild flattening in the SOR curve yesterday, with the 3y widening by +0.25bps (to 1.43%) and 5y tightening by -0.8bps (to 1.90%). Flows traded thinly yesterday, though there was some residual demand interest in REITs (CAPITA) and property (KPLDSP) names. SG’s Nov CPI came in slightly lower than expected at -0.3% (consensus: -0.2%, Oct: 0.1%).



MALAYSIA

¨      Surge in bank trades; IBK top traded. Secondary credit activity rose to a hefty MYR847m (YTD avg: MYR438m) as investors rushed to reorganize their positions ahead of the holidays. On the other hand, MGS volume remained below-average at MYR832m (YTD avg: MYR2.17bn). In the credit space, trading interest was mostly in short-dated and AAA-rated papers. Notable active names of the day were mostly bank names including IBK 2/15 MTNs, settled flat at 3.579% on MYR190m transacted since its prior trade; ALLIANCEB 4/21, settled 1.3bps tighter at 4.169% on MYR65m traded; and KEXIM 7/15, which traded 4.2bps wider to 3.783% on MYR43m trades. Meanwhile, GAMUDA 4/15 drew significant interest at MYR82m traded, widening 8.7bps to 3.767%. In the sovereign space, 7y traded most actively with MYR264m transacted closing 10bps tighter at 4.06%, followed by 3y with MYR170m closing 7bps tighter at 3.58%. MGS curve flattened with 7y and 10y tightening 10bps and 9bps respectively while 3y tightened 7bps and 5y widened 2bps.



TRADE IDEA: USD
Bond(s)

Bank of China Ltd (BOC, A1/A/A) BOC 5.00% 11/24 B3T2 (price: 102.19; mid-yield: 4.72%; Z+241bps)

Comparable(s)

BOC 5.55% 2/20 B2 LT2 (price: 108.70; mid-yield: 3.67%; Z+184bps)

Relative Value

We reiterate our preference on BOC 11/24 B3T2 (initially recommended on 13-Nov 14), which remains attractive from an absolute yield standpoint within the USD T2 space. In addition, the bond still offers a decent PONV premium over BOC 2/20 B2 LT2, which we estimate to be c.33bps (in Z-spread) after tenor adjustments (5bps/year). The new-style’s issuance size is also larger at USD3.0bn versus its B2 counterpart’s size of USD2.5bn.

Fundamentals

BCHINA’s solid credit profile is supported by the following key aspects:

1)     Fourth-largest state-owned bank in China, with an estimated 10% share of system loans and assets in addition to a strong franchise in Hong Kong;
2)     Respectable profitability metrics, with NIM and ROA of 2.26% and 1.16% respectively;
3)     Sound asset quality, evidenced by its slightly below-average NPL ratio of 1.07% (industry: 1.08%) and significant loan coverage ratio of 229.35%;
4)     Stable funding and liquidity, reflected by a 76.53% loans-to-deposits ratio and historically stable levels;
5)     Majority-owned by the Chinese government. Very strong implied systemic support assumptions given BCHINA’s 67.68% ownership by Central Huijin Investment Ltd and its significant influence over China’s financial system.


*all data as of 30-Sep 14




CREDIT BRIEF
Company/ Issuer

Sector

Country

Update

RHBFIC View

Hyflux Ltd (Hyflux)

Engineering

SG

Hyflux, together with National Power and Water Co, has been awarded a USD250m water project by the government-owned Oman Power & Water Procurement.  Hyflux’s portion includes the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) worth USD210m.

Mildly positive. This is Hyflux’s first contract in 12 months. We opine that a firmer pipeline is needed before its credit profile is to show improvement. Hyflux is currently geared towards the higher side, with its LTM Debt/ EBITDA at 15.3x while its LTM EBITDA Interest Coverage is at 4.65x.


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