Tuesday, October 3, 2017

FW: [Maybank] 2017, Issue 9: Inflation Expectations, Yield Differentials & China Take Centre-Stage in Oct

 

 

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GBL: 2017, Issue 9: Inflation Expectations, Yield Differentials & China Take Centre-Stage in Oct

FX Monthly
by Saktiandi Supaat

FX Research

We are revising GBP, AUD, MYR and KRW forecast stronger in the medium term whilst revising NZD, INR and IDR forecasts lower. There was slight calibration to USDCNY forecast in 1H 2018. We maintain positive outlook for EUR in the medium term but continue to caution for risk of correction owing to political risks; see risk of BoE tightening possibly as early as in Nov meeting; maintain bearish on NZD due to election and policy uncertainty; AUD and CNH to bear the brunt of China's clampdown...

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