MEXIM: Our views on new USD bonds
·
Export-Import Bank of Malaysia Berhad (MEXIM) plans
to issue 5-year USD bonds with benchmark size and may be priced as early as
today. MEXIM is a fairly frequent issuer in the USD bond market with yearly
re-taps since 2012.
·
The bonds rank senior unsecured with a change of
control put at par when MEXIM ceases to be wholly-owned by the Government of
Malaysia, which essentially prevents any sale of government stake to avoid
diminution of its role as policy bank thereby the government’s willingness to
support.
·
On pricing, IPG was T+140bps. We think the closer
comps are MALAYS’7/21 (T+86, G+89) and RHBCMK’10/16 (T+131, G+131, a weaker
non-corp rated at A3/BBB+), EXIMBK 7/21 (T+130, G+133, a weaker Indian policy
bank rated at Baa3/BBB-). Another perspective on pricing is KEXIM gives ~30bps
G-spread over KOREA for similar tenor, and if we apply this on MEXIM would mean
G-spread of about 119bps. The fair value for MEXIM should be in the region of
T+117.5 area, in our view.
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