Sector Update � Plantation (NEUTRAL,
maintain)
- Inventory declines but exports still weak
Both CPO production and palm oil exports trended
higher mom in May but remained lower yoy. Palm oil inventory declined to the
lowest level in 62 months but is poised to rise again in the next few months
as oil yield recovers further. The USDA cut its beginning inventory and
raised consumption estimates for US soybean for 2016/17E but raised its world
vegetable oil inventory marginally. El Nino has dissipated. We maintain our
CPO ASP assumption of RM2,400/MT in 2016-18E, plantation stock TPs and sector
NEUTRAL rating. We maintain our SELL ratings on FGV and GENP on valuation
grounds.
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