Wednesday, September 2, 2015

[Maybank Kim Eng] Today's Research - Malaysia

02 Sep 2015, Wednesday


g Sector Research
- Regional Plantations: Toothless El Nino so far
| Chee Ting Ong



RN: Regional Plantations
Recommendation: Neutral

Chee Ting Ong
(603) 2297 8678
ct.ong@maybank-ib.com


Sector Note: Toothless El Nino so far


§  Revise down 2015-17 CPO ASP forecasts by 8-13% to MYR2,100/2,300/2,400/t following the slump in crude oil price, weak El Nino, ample soybean, and high stockpile.
§  For Singapore, our revised earnings incorporated FRS16 impact with higher depreciation charges from 2016 onwards.
§  Stay NEUTRAL. Focus on companies with good long term organic growth, take shelter in asset buffer. Downgrade FR to HOLD. Top BUYs in the region: BAL, GENP, SOP. SELL AALI.

MY: Malaysia Strategy

Chew Hann Wong
(603) 2297 8686
wchewh@maybank-ib.com

Strategy Research: 2Q15 result roundup: Growth reverses


§  2Q15 core net profit -9.0% YoY, -9.2% QoQ; 1H15 -3.7%. Looking at slower growth of +1.9% for 2015, +8.1% for 2016 .
§  Cut end-2015 KLCI target to 1,610, introduce 1,750 for end-2016; valuations pegged at below mean, for now.
§  Volatilities to remain elevated; we continue to advocate a defensive strategy, buy at lower levels.

MY: Technicals

Lee Cheng Hooi
(603) 2297 8694
chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com

Technical Research: Downside volatility will re-emerge


§  GDEX - On a very strong downward Wave 3 and 5 move.
§  FBMKLCI – Downward volatility will re-emerge.
§  Supports of 1,503 and 1,600 will be weaker.
§  Resistances of 1,609 and 1,660 will cap rebounds.

MY: Other News

Malaysia Research Team

Economics Research:


Outside Malaysia
    U.S: American factories expand at slowest pace since May 2013
    E.U: Euro-Area joblessness declines to lowest level since early 2012
    India: Rajan hails money markets passing on rate cuts as banks go slow
    Hong Kong: Buys USD 2b to keep the city’s currency pegged
Malaysia
    Oil & Gas: Petronas approves plan for Ophir oil field
    FGV: May ask for lower price for Eagle High stake
    CCM: Shuts down fertilizer plant in Shah Alam, retrenches 230 staff

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