MARKET STRATEGY
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MY Strategy: Maintain Neutral
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2Q
report card: Disappointing
|
- 2Q14
core net profit of our research universe was down 3.3% YoY; the
results season has been disappointing.
- 2014/2015
KLCI core earnings are now expected to grow a slower 4.1%/7.8%
after our earnings cut by 2.8%/3.0%.
- Maintain
our 1,940 end-2014 KLCI target, implying 16.7x 12M forward
earnings.
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Technicals
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Last
minute �treading-water� buying
The FBMKLCI advanced 1.58 points to 1,867.69 yesterday, while the
FBMEMAS and FBM100 also closed higher by 7.28 points and 10.70
points, respectively. We recommend a �Range
Trading� stance for
the index.
Trading idea is a Take profit call on TCHONG with down side target
areas at MYR4.34 & MYR4.28.
Click here for full report »
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Other Local News
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Banking:
No push to set up mega bank. Bank Negara Malaysia is not pushing
for the setting up of mega Islamic banks, said its governor Tan Sri
Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz. Also, she mentioned that we do not want a mega
bank for the sake of having it and want to ensure that it will
achieve the objective of having scale; able to undertake
international business and facilitate cross-border financial flows
and support trade and cross-border activities. (Source: Business
Times)
Banking: Bank Muamalat eyes first Islamic private banking. It
is looking to launch the first Islamic private banking in Malaysia in
a year's time to tap into a strong growth market to expand its
revenue stream. CEO told reporters of this after signing a memorandum
of understanding with the Bank of London and the Middle East plc
(BLME) yesterday. (Source: The Star)
Gloves: Malaysian rubber glove makers rule out price war. Hartalega
said competition remains healthy as of now, while Supermax Corp said
they expect competition to worsen next year. Also, Supermax Corp
mentioned that they could see average profit margins for nitrile
gloves dwindle to between 9% and 11% during the remainder of the year
from above 15%. (Source: The Star)
Astro, Maxis: Clarify no impact from India. Astro Malaysia
Holdings and Maxis have clarified that the charge-sheets from Central
Bureau of Investigation of India will not implicate and impact both
companies. The charge-sheet were in relation to Astro All Asia
Networks Ltd's (AAANL) acquisitions of shares in Sun Direct TV
Private Ltd in 2007 and Maxis Communications Bhd's (MCB) Aircel Ltd
from Siva Ventures Limited in 2006. (Source: The Star)
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Outside Malaysia
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U.S:
Manufacturing powering expansion in August as orders surge. The
Institute for Supply Management's index unexpectedly climbed to 59,
the highest level since March 2011, from July's 57.1, beating all
forecasts in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The orders gauge was
the strongest in a decade, the Tempe, Arizona-based group reported.
(Source: Bloomberg)
Japan: Wages rose in July by the most since 1997, helping
consumers cope with increasing living costs as Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe tries to reflate the world's third-biggest economy. Average
monthly earnings climbed 2.6% YoY after a 1% YoY gain in June, the
labor ministry said. Adjusted for inflation, pay shrank 1.4% YoY, the
13th straight month of declines. (Source: Bloomberg)
India: Current- account deficit widened to a one-year high after
policy makers eased some restrictions on gold imports, while staying
below the level the central bank considers sustainable. The
April-June shortfall in the broadest measure of trade rose to USD
7.8b from USD 1.2b the previous quarter, the Reserve Bank of India
said. That's lower than USD 21.8b a year earlier and amounts to 1.7%
of GDP. The RBI considers a deficit of 2.5% of GDP as sustainable.
(Source: Bloomberg)
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Key Indices
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Value
|
YTD
(%)
|
Daily
(%)
|
KLCI
|
1,867.7
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
JCI
|
5,201.6
|
21.7
|
0.5
|
STI
|
3,328.3
|
5.1
|
0.4
|
SET
|
1,568.6
|
20.8
|
0.2
|
HSI
|
24,749.0
|
6.2
|
(0.0)
|
KOSPI
|
2,051.6
|
2.0
|
(0.8)
|
TWSE
|
9,399.7
|
9.2
|
(1.2)
|
|
|
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DJIA
|
17,067.6
|
3.0
|
(0.2)
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S&P
|
2,002.3
|
8.3
|
(0.1)
|
FTSE
|
6,829.2
|
1.2
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
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MYR/USD
|
3.2
|
(2.9)
|
0.7
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CPO (1mth)
|
1,964.0
|
(25.3)
|
1.4
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Crude Oil (1mth)
|
92.9
|
(5.6)
|
(3.2)
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Gold
|
1,271.3
|
5.8
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(1.3)
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TOP STOCK PICKS
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|
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Buy rated large caps
|
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Price
|
Target
|
Tenaga
|
|
12.42
|
14.00
|
Axiata
|
|
6.94
|
7.60
|
Sime Darby
|
|
9.48
|
10.20
|
Gamuda
|
|
4.79
|
5.30
|
UMW O&G
|
|
3.88
|
5.15
|
AFG
|
|
4.92
|
5.50
|
Perdana Petroleum
|
|
1.81
|
2.55
|
Hock Seng Lee
|
|
1.88
|
2.25
|
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