Tuesday, April 1, 2014

Regional Daily, Maybank KE (2014-04-01)

Daily
01 April 2014
TOP VIEWS
  • Pegatron Corporation (4938 TT) | Company update
  • Bumi Armada (BAB MK) | Company Update
  • China Merchants (144 HK) | Results review
Pegatron Corporation (4938 TT)
Stand firm on margin; BUY
Share Price: TWD45.35 | Target Price: TWD55.00(+21%) | MCap (USD): 3.5B | ADTV: USD12M
  • We believe Pegatron benefits from Apples diversification strategy as it successfully transformed itself to be the most reliable second source. 4Q13 OPM comparison with its peers supports our view.
  • Better product mix, higher utilization rate, and efficiency improvement will lead to margin expansion in 2014F and 2015F.
  • Maintain BUY and Street-high TP of TWD55.
Bumi Armada (BAB MK)
Bags Enis LOI for Angolas FPSO job
Share Price: MYR3.91 | Target Price: MYR5.00 (+28%) | MCap (USD): 3.5B | ADTV: USD3.3M
  • Bare-boat charter worth USD2.9b over 12-year firm period; projected to hit 1st oil by Oct 2016.
  • Conversion works on the FPSO will take about 31 months to complete, on USD1.5b capex plan.
  • Maintain BUY and MYR5.00 SOP-TP.
China Merchants (144 HK)
A steady play
Share Price: HKD26.65 | Target Price: HKD33.30(+25%) | MCap (USD): 8.7B | ADTV: USD13M
  • Reiterate BUY with HKD33.30 TP based on 12-month forward NAV as we forecast 13% recurring FY14F earnings growth.
  • Throughput should increase 12% in FY14, with full-year Terminal Link contribution. We expect 6% organic growth.
  • Issue of Mandatory Convertible Securities (MCS) will raise finance costs in the near term. Parent underwriting the issue shows confidence in CMs long-term prospects.
COMPANY NOTES
  • Hong Kong Banks | NEUTRAL
  • Astro Malaysia Holdings | Results Review
  • Security Banking Corp (SECB PM) | Company Update
Sector Update
Hong Kong Banks
Feb 2014 Monetary Statistics Slight alert on rising L/D ratio
  • Strong RMB deposit growth due to rising RMB trade settlement
  • Rising L/D ratio may trigger HKMA to check loan growth
  • Maintain NEUTRAL with DSB and DSF as top BUYs
Astro Malaysia Holdings
Decent end to FY1/14
Share Price: MYR3.20 | Target Price: MYR3.37 (+5%) | MCap (USD): 5.1B | ADTV (USD): 2.5M
  • Results within expectations.
  • Growth slows in 4QFY1/14 but expected to reaccelerate.
  • Maintain HOLD but tweak TP 4% higher to MYR3.37.
Security Banking Corp (SECB PM)
Boosting capital for growth
Share Price: PHP106.50 | Target Price: PHP122.50(+15%) | MCap (USD): 1.4B | ADTV (USD): 1M
  • Maintain BUY with unchanged TP at PHP122.50.
  • Earnings estimate cut 3% and 2% in FY14-15 to account for planned PHP10b Tier 2 notes.
  • Management ROE target of 12% in FY14 suggests earnings of PHP5.2b, higher 4% YoY.
ECONOMICS
Economics
Thailand Economics
Econ softens further
  • Overall economic activities in Feb continued to soften from Jan. The current account balance continues to register surpluses mainly due to drop in imports.
  • The political situation could become more violent in Apr as legal cases against Yingluck will be considered by public independent agencies. Protesters may get the political vacuum they want.
   

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