Tuesday, April 1, 2014

AmWatch - JT International : Privatisation: Offer price of RM7.80/share is fair OFFER PRICE:RM7.80 (ACCEPT GO), 1 Apr 2014

STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
JT International : Privatisation: Offer price of RM7.80/share is fair                                             OFFER PRICE:RM7.80 (ACCEPT GO)
               
JT International Bhd (JTI) announced it has received a conditional offer from its parent and major shareholder, JT International Holding B.V. (JTIH), for the remaining 39.63% equity stake it does not currently own. JTIH is offering RM808.5mil or RM7.80/share to take the company private. This is a 20% premium to its last traded price of RM6.50/share and 8.3% above our DCF-derived fair value of RM7.20/share. The purchase consideration will be satisfied by way of cash. While it may have come as a surprise, we recommend investors accept the offer as we deem the exit price of RM7.80/share to be fair. The offer price values JTI at an FY14F PE of 15.6x. This is above both our implied forward PE of 14.4x, and the group’s 5-year trend average PE of 11.5x. JTI appears to be operating in an increasingly challenging and mature environment, as evidenced by its moderate 5-year revenue and earnings CAGR of +4%. Its yields have also been declining, from an average of 20% in the 5 years to FY08 to 8.6% from FY09-FY13. Following this announcement and JTIH’s intention to delist JTI, BAT will remain the only listed tobacco manufacturer in Malaysia. We have a HOLD recommendation on the stock, with a fair value of RM62.00/share.


Others :
Astro Malaysia : High depreciation offsets decent revenue growth           HOLD
Banking Sector : Unexciting February banking statistics                  NEUTRAL
Economic Update : Money supply moderates further in February


QUICK TAKE
Banking Sector : Unexpected increase in auto loan rates               NEUTRAL

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
Public Bank : Set to keep earnings momentum
Star Publications : i.Star sees RM150mil sales
IHH Healthcare Bhd : Undergoes internal reorganisation
Banking Sector : Interest on car loans has increased quietly



DISCLAIMER:
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by AmResearch Sdn Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of AmResearch Sdn Bhd may from time to time have a position in or with the securities mentioned herein. Members of the AmInvestment Group and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice.

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