Wednesday, April 11, 2018

FW: [Maybank] (RESEND) SGD – No Time Like The Present To Normalise

 

 

(RESEND) SGD – No Time Like The Present To Normalise

FX Insight
by Saktiandi Supaat

FX Research

The negative output gap shows signs of turning positive, signalling sustained price pressures going into 2019. In addition, our Taylor Rule-SGD NEER estimates show that the SGD NEER is expected to strengthen ahead. Thus, the appropriate policy response would be for the MAS to normalise monetary policy by shifting to a "modest and gradual appreciate" stance at its 13 Apr meeting. We remain positive on the SGD and maintain our USDSGD forecast for now.

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