Friday, January 19, 2018

FW: RHB | Global | Making The USD Great Again

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

18 January 2018

Global

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

Making The USD Great Again

 

The consensus view and current momentum signal continued US dollar weakness. A more-hawkish-than-consensus ECB statement and a constructive political outcome in Germany have put even more pressure on the USD.

 

We are out on a limb. Our belief is that most of the news that would keep the USD weak and/or the EUR and JPY weak is getting priced in. Once the dust settles -- perhaps with an overshoot -- future currency movements are likely to depend on growth and inflation surprises and these surprises are more likely to be USD friendly.

 

 

Arup Raha  | +65 6232 3896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Economics Team

Arup Raha

Group Chief Economist

arup.raha@rhbgroup.com

+65 6232 3896

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

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