Wednesday, January 17, 2018

FW: AmBank Research - Tenaga Nasional: Constructive disclosures by the Energy Commission BUY, 17 Jan 2018

 

 

STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY

Tenaga Nasional: Constructive disclosures by the Energy Commission                     BUY

 

The Energy Commission (EC) held a briefing on the parameters underlying the Regulatory Period 2 (RP2: 2018-2020) under the Incentive-Based Regulation (IBR) mechanism. The briefing allays potential concerns on the funding source over Tenaga’s support programmes. Meanwhile, excess collection gained over the RP1 should buffer under-recovery of fuel cost in the interim. Maintain BUY with a DCF-based FV of RM17.82 (WACC: 7.7% terminal growth: 2.0%).

 

Among the key takeaways are: i) the electricity base tariff rate of Regulatory Period 1 (RP1: 2015-2017) remains unchanged at 38.53 sen/kWh heading into RP2; ii) the RP1’s base tariff rate resulted in an average selling price of 39.45 sen/kWh; iii) the RP2 regulatory return on Tenaga was revised to 7.3% from 7.5%; iv) the EC revised the fuel coal price benchmark to US$75/MT from US$87.50/MT or RM315.90/MT; v) the under-recovery of fuel cost will amount to RM929mil for the period 1 Jan 2018—30 June 2018.

 

 

Others :

Telekom Malaysia: MoU with Tenaga may mitigate broadband showdown           BUY

V.S.Industry: Buying opportunities amid misconception                                                 BUY

UMW Oil & Gas: Uncertainty remains with HWU utilisation                                           SELL

 

 

 

STOCKS ON RADAR

V.S.Industry, SKP Resources, Formosa Prosonic Industries, ViTrox Corporation

 

 

ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHT

UK: Post-Brexit impact on inflation softening?

 

 

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS

D'nonce Technology: D’nonce a takeover target?

EWI: Achieves cumulative sales of RM7.7b from UK, Australian projects

Sime Darby Property: To launch 1,000 affordable units this year

Ewein: Says it’s not involved in Penang job

 

 

 

DISCLAIMER:

The information and opinions in this report were prepared by AmInvestment Bank Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of AmInvestment Bank Bhd. Bhd may from time to time have a position in or with the securities mentioned herein. Members of the AmBank Group Bhd and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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