Monday, November 6, 2017

FW: RHB | Malaysia | Exports Slowing, 3Q Growth Strongest Since 2010

 

 

 

Economic Research

6 November 2017

Malaysia

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

Exports Slowing, 3Q Growth Strongest Since 2010

 

Exports retained a healthy pace of a 14.8% YoY growth in September, albeit slowing from +21.6% in the previous month amid a waning low-base effect. Nevertheless, September’s reading still rounded up 3Q with the strongest quarter in seven years. Moving forward, given the fading base-effect, we expect export growth to be sustained at 6.5% in 2018, albeit slowing from an estimated 15.2% this year. Overall, the external outlook continues to be supported by:

1.   Improving global growth prospects, moving into 2018;

2.   Strong global E&E demand, as seen in the recovery of global semiconductor sales;

3.   Stable demand for commodity products, holding up export prices.

 

Economist:  Vincent Loo Yeong Hong  | +603 9280 2172

Economist:  Aris Nazman Maslan  | +603 9280 2184

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

 

01 Nov : M3 Eases Lower From a Two-Year High

27 Oct : MOF Economic Report 2017/2018 - Growth To Be Sustained As Fiscal Deficit Narrows

24 Oct : Services Sector Drags Approved Investments

20 Oct : Inflation Picks Up Further on Higher Fuel Prices

20 Oct : Business Confidence Slips On Weaker Orders

 

Economics Team

 

 

 

 

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Vietnam,

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

 

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