Tuesday, November 14, 2017

FW: Auction Results: GII 7/27 Reopening_20171114

 

 

Auction Results: GII 7/27 Reopening

·         Good demand. Today’s 10y GII 7/27 reopening auction drew good interest registering a bid/cover of 1.832x on an expected MYR3b size. Sentiment was understandably cautious as this auction came on the heels of BNM’s hawkish shift last Thursday when the monetary policy statement stated that the MPC may consider reviewing the current degree of monetary accommodation, a strong sign for rate increase in 2018 although the actual timing of hike in our view remains uncertain.

·         Cautious bid with bottom fisher. Bids were cautious. WI had already cheapened from 4.29/26 when the auction was announced last Friday to about 4.34/33 before the closing this morning. Still, successful bids averaged 4.347% which is north of the pre-auction WI and the highest yield cut with a small tail at 4.37%. While upcoming auctions with an estimated MYR11b total supply in four auctions may continue to weigh on the curve, we expect to see increasing bottom fishing interest.

·         Next up is the reopening of 15y MGS 4/33. We estimate a size of MYR2.5b.

 

Bid to cover:            1.832

Highest yield:           4.370%

Average yield:         4.347%

Lowest yield:           4.300%

Cut off:                   95%

 

 

Regards,

 

 

 


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