Friday, July 7, 2017

DneX: Bags project to supply container systems worth up to MYR75m. The group has secured a project worth between MYR50m and MYR75m to supply up to 100 portable container systems for petroleum products. According to DNeX, a PCS station with single storage is priced at MYR500,000 per site/unit (psu), while the contract price for a PCS station with double storage is priced at MYR750,000 psu. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)






Globetronics Technology | Ramping up for action in 2H17
Ivan Yap









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Malaysia Technology | Cherry pick for 2H17
Ivan Yap









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Malaysia | FCPO Punching Through the Cloud
Nik Ihsan Raja Abdullah








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COMPANY RESEARCH





TP Revision





Globetronics Technology (GTB MK)
by Ivan Yap





Share Price:
MYR5.99
Target Price:
MYR6.40
Recommendation:
Hold




Ramping up for action in 2H17

Globetronics’ share price has rebounded 72% YTD (-46% YoY in 2016), driven by expectation of higher sensor volume demand of up to 27m/43m units p.m. in FY17/18 (from 9m units p.m. in FY16) from the likely adoption of light sensors in the upcoming premium smartphones, slated for launch in 3Q17. We lift our (i) FY17-19 earnings forecasts by 12%-21% and (ii) TP to MYR6.40 (+31%), having raised our PER peg to 18x (from 16.5x; average PER peg for our tech coverage). Maintain HOLD.



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
343.7
215.3
367.7
521.6
EBITDA
96.3
51.2
94.0
146.8
Core net profit
71.3
25.7
55.3
100.5
Core FDEPS (sen)
25.3
9.0
19.3
35.0
Core FDEPS growth(%)
10.4
(64.6)
115.0
81.7
Net DPS (sen)
20.0
16.0
13.7
24.9
Core FD P/E (x)
23.7
66.9
31.1
17.1
P/BV (x)
5.6
6.4
6.0
5.4
Net dividend yield (%)
3.3
2.7
2.3
4.2
ROAE (%)
24.4
9.1
20.3
34.0
ROAA (%)
19.9
7.7
17.1
28.5
EV/EBITDA (x)
17.3
16.0
17.0
10.7
Net debt/equity (%)
net cash
net cash
net cash
net cash







SECTOR RESEARCH






Cherry pick for 2H17
by Ivan Yap


Sector Note





Malaysia technology names have reflected global optimism in the sector with equipment players leading YTD share price gains at +80%-229% while semiconductor players booked in +33%-82%. We expect the laggard semiconductor/EMS players to play catch-up in 2H17 in anticipation of strong momentum revenue/earnings growth. We have downgraded ViTrox to HOLD on 5 Jul 2017. Maintain BUY on on Inari (Top Pick) and VSI for their promising earnings outlook supported by valuations upside.









MACRO RESEARCH






FCPO Punching Through the Cloud
by Nik Ihsan Raja Abdullah


Technical Research





Last minute push in selective index-linked stocks such as IOI and Petronas Chemicals lifted FBMKLCI 2.37pts higher yesterday. At day's end, the benchmark rose 0.13% to 1,770.53. Market breadth was negative with losers outpacing gainers by 511 to 359. Daily turnover was thin at 1.55b shares worth MYR1.74b. The sharp fall in overnight US markets may derail the upward momentum built over the past two days and sentiment could be choppy ahead of US jobs report.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Service industries’ expansion helps economic rebound. A faster-than-forecast June pace of expansion at America’s service industries, which make up the bulk of the economy, signals solid second-quarter growth, a survey from the Institute for Supply Management showed. Non-manufacturing index rose to 57.4 from 56.9 in May; readings above 50 indicate growth. Measure of orders jumped to 60.5 from six-month low of 57.7. Employment gauge settled back to 55.8 from an almost two-year high of 57.8. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Trade gap narrows as exports rise to highest in two years. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in May as American companies exported the most since April 2015, underscoring an improving global economy, Commerce Department data showed. Gap decreased 2.3% to USD 46.5b from USD 47.6b in April. Exports rose 0.4% to USD 192b on increased shipments of cars and consumer goods. Imports fell 0.1% to USD 238.5b as cooler demand for autos and consumer merchandise offset record shipments of capital goods. (Source: Bloomberg)

Germany: Factory orders increased in May; albeit less than forecast, as Europe’s largest economy is seen expanding at a robust pace. Orders, adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, rose 1% after falling a revised 2.2% in April, data from the Economy Ministry showed. Orders were up 3.7% YoY, when adjusted for working days. Germany has driven economic growth in the 19-nation euro region and the Bundesbank predicts that “lively” manufacturing demand from within the country and abroad will contribute to strong growth. (Source: Bloomberg)

Indonesia: Sees 2017 budget deficit approaching 3% to GDP limit. Indonesia widened its estimate for the budget deficit this year to near the legal limit, as spending rises while tax revenue falters. The new projection is 2.7% of GDP, compared with 2.4% forecast last year, Aziz Syamsuddin, head of the parliament’s budget committee, said. Revisions are still possible, he said. The government is restricted by law to keep the deficit under 3% of GDP, a legacy from the Asian crisis. (Source: Bloomberg)

Crude Oil: Slips as U.S. output jump offsets stockpile drop. Oil slipped as investors weighed expanding U.S. production against declining crude and gasoline stockpiles. U.S. oil output last week increased by the most since January. Crude inventories fell 6.3 million barrels, more than triple the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey before data from the Energy Information Administration. Gasoline stockpiles decreased for a third week. Brent for September settlement was USD 48.11/bbl. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

DneX: Bags project to supply container systems worth up to MYR75m. The group has secured a project worth between MYR50m and MYR75m to supply up to 100 portable container systems for petroleum products. According to DNeX, a PCS station with single storage is priced at MYR500,000 per site/unit (psu), while the contract price for a PCS station with double storage is priced at MYR750,000 psu. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Yinson: Bidding for 6 new projects. Yinson is eyeing several floating production storage and offloading projects in its current fiscal year ending Jan 31, 2018. The company is currently evaluating three to six projects within its existing operations in Africa and Asia. Updating on Yinson's latest venture in Vietnam, he said the company was expected to finalise the value and details of the contract within six weeks.(Source: The Star)

CCM Duopharma Biotech: Gets MYR10m credit facilities from OCBC. The group has received an additional MYR10m credit facilities from OCBC Bank (Malaysia).It has been maintaining a MYR9.55m credit facilities from OCBC since 2009 and the limit has been fully utilised as at March 31, 2017. With the additional MYR10m credit facilities, the new total limit from OCBC will be MYR19.55m. (Source: The Sun Daily)


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