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Economic
Research
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8 May
2017
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Philippines
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Economic Update
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Headline
inflation stabilises at 3.4% YoY in April, from the same pace in March, as
faster increases in the heavily-weighted cost of food, transport, and
communication was offset by a moderation in the costs of housing & utilities
and restaurants. Going forward, we forecast inflation to rise to 3.3% in
2017, from +1.8% in 2016. This is premised on:
1.
Higher domestic fuel prices compared to a year earlier;
2.
An upward adjustment in electricity rate;
3.
Resilient domestic demand;
4.
The proposed tax policy reform programme.
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