Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Equities slipped along with the USD on the back of a marginal decline in the Conference Board Consumer Confidence to 117.9 fro


GBL: Mixed…



Global Markets Daily
by Saktiandi Supaat


FX Research





Equities slipped along with the USD on the back of a marginal decline in the Conference Board Consumer Confidence to 117.9 from previous 119.4 (revised). Apr PCE core did not provide much comfort, printing 0.2%m/m vs. previous -0.1%. UST yields slipped, with 10y last seen around 2.22%. The pullback in the greenback lifted most G10 currencies with NZD in the lead, followed by JPY and then AUD. EUR could be the main culprit for the USD retreat as the former rebounded towards the 1.12-figure ...

MARC has placed its BBB+IS sukuk rating on Alam Maritim Resources Berhad’s (Alam Maritim) RM500 million Sukuk Ijarah Medium-Term Note Programme on MARCWatch Negative.


Posted Date: May 30, 2017

MARC has placed its BBB+IS sukuk rating on Alam Maritim Resources Berhad’s (Alam Maritim) RM500 million Sukuk Ijarah Medium-Term Note Programme on MARCWatch Negative. The current outstanding amount under the rated programme is RM75 million, of which RM30 million is due in July 2017.

The rating action highlights increased risk of missed payments or a distressed exchange on Alam Maritim’s sukuk upon the company entering into Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee (CDRC) mediated negotiations with its lenders and sukukholders. Alam Maritim announced to Bursa Malaysia on May 26, 2017 that it had received approval from CDRC on its application for the latter’s assistance to mediate the aforementioned debt restructure. The CDRC, which is under the purview of Bank Negara Malaysia, has issued a standstill letter to creditors, including the sukuk trustee, while Alam Maritim is required to submit a proposed debt restructuring scheme within 60 days from the approval letter.

Alam Maritim’s sinking fund stood at RM25.3 milion as at April 10, 2017 in relation to its forthcoming scheduled payment of RM30 million in July 2017. The rating agency had been maintaining a negative outlook on the rating since March 2016 in view of Alam Maritim’s declining liquidity buffer, compounded by slow replenishment of its order book. While the order book has shown some improvement in recent months, weak cash flow generation has continued to weigh on its financial performance. MARC will resolve the MARCWatch Negative placement pending further clarity on Alam Maritim’s debt restructuring programme.

Contacts:
Afeeq Amiri, +603-2082 2256/ afeeqamiri@marc.com.my,
Sharidan Salleh, +603-2082 2254/ sharidan@marc.com.my.

v Stronger than expected US economic data


Highlights of today’s AmBank FX Daily Outlook as follow:-

v  Stronger than expected US economic data
v  MYR to fluctuate in the range of 4.2706-4.2919 against US dollar
v  Key watch: (i) ECB’s CÅ“uré and Fed’s Kaplan speeches; (ii) May UK Gfk consumer confidence; (iii) May EU inflation rate; (iv) 1Q India GDP; (v) Apr Malaysia PPI

Thailand: The bond curve bear steepened as the 4-14-year bucket s (mainly LB21-23, LB26, and LB316A) rose 1-2 bps led by profit taking activity amongst local players. In addition, foreign investors were net sellers of of short- and long-term bonds at Bt254 million and Bt2.05 billion respectively. We view the rally in bonds attracted selling pressure before event risk such as NFP on Friday. Separately, in the Treasury Bill (TB) market, the BoT announced plan to reduce auction size to Bt5.0bi

Market Roundup
  • US Treasuries gained as core PCE inflation rose at 1.5% yoy in Apr or just meeting consensus expectation but which was also the lowest monthly increase since Mar last year. On the flipside, Fed governor Lael Brainard commented that a rate hike is likely to be appropriate. The yield curve flattened further with the 2x10 spread at 93bps overnight.
  • Malaysia: MGS closed mildly weaker amid some pressure on MYR. Nonetheless, auction of the 7-year GII (GII Aug’24) saw firm demand at bid-cover-ratio of 2.48 times for the RM3.0 billion public tender (another RM1.0 billion privately placed). Average yield was 3.926% (and where highest to lowest range was 3.933/909%) which was lower against WI of 3.95/90% the day before.
  • Thailand: The bond curve bear steepened as the 4-14-year bucket s (mainly LB21-23, LB26, and LB316A) rose 1-2 bps led by profit taking activity amongst local players. In addition, foreign investors were net sellers of of short- and long-term bonds at Bt254 million and Bt2.05 billion respectively. We view the rally in bonds attracted selling pressure before event risk such as NFP on Friday. Separately, in the Treasury Bill (TB) market, the BoT announced plan to reduce auction size to Bt5.0billion from about Bt20billion per auction which usually takes place every Monday. Consequently, short-term (less than 30 days) supply will substantially contract about Bt60 billion per month. This may be BoT’s effort to curb foreign fund inflows into short-term bonds and to slow the baht's appreciation.
  • Indonesia: Indonesia government bonds were traded slightly weaker on Tuesday in light trading volume. In general, the move was sideways amid thin activities with local names as net sellers. MoF held a IDR Sharia bond auction with incoming bids relatively low at only IDR11 trillion. The government issued IDR4.08 trillion of Sharia bonds, lower than IDR5 trillion target. volume improved a tad to IDR8.8 trillion and was dominated by bonds maturing in over 10 years (42%) and maturing between 1 and 5 years (31%).

Bunds Dip as ECB Said to Consider Removing Easing Bias

RHB FIC DAILY SNAPSHOT





5/31/2017 8:56








1-Day
3-Mth
6-Mth

30-May-17
29-May-17
Chg (%)
Avg
Avg
Commodities





Brent Crude Jul 17
51.84
52.29
-0.86
52.58
53.95
Brent Crude Aug 17
52.24
52.64
-0.76
52.89
54.35
Brent Crude Sep 17
52.51
52.89
-0.72
53.13
54.69
WTI Crude Oil
49.66
49.80
-0.28
50.49
52.77
CPO Future Jul 17
2,611
2,627
-0.61
2,746
2,922
CPO Future Aug 17
2,504
2,516
-0.48
2,660
2,854
CPO Future Sep 17
2,439
2,447
-0.33
2,602
2,800
GOLD spot US$/Oz
1,263
1,270
-0.50
1,248
1,220
DJ-UBS Metals Subindex
110.9
111.5
-0.47
113.3
113.6
DJ-UBS Agriculture Subindex
50.33
50.94
-1.20
52.64
54.07






Forex





USD/MYR
4.283
4.272
0.24
4.387
4.420
GBP/USD
1.286
1.284
0.15
1.263
1.254
EUR/USD
1.119
1.116
0.20
1.082
1.071
USD/JPY
110.9
111.3
-0.38
111.8
113.3
AUD/USD
0.747
0.744
0.34
0.753
0.751
USD/SGD
1.384
1.386
-0.14
1.400
1.413
USD/HKD
7.793
7.794
-0.01
7.775
7.767
USD/KRW
1,125
1,122
0.29
1,132
1,151
USD/CNY
6.856
6.856
0.00
6.893
6.896
USD/THB
34.13
34.11
0.05
34.60
35.01
USD/IDR
13,323
13,320
0.02
13,323
13,348
USD/PHP
49.78
49.79
-0.03
49.99
49.91
USD/INR
64.67
64.50
0.26
64.99
66.36












Equity Indices





FBM KLCI
1,765.3
1,764.9
0.03
1,748.8
1,708.9
DJIA
21,029.5
21,080.3
-0.24
20,818.0
20,410.1
S&P 500
2,412.9
2,415.8
-0.12
2,373.6
2,328.2
NASDAQ
6,203.2
6,210.2
-0.11
5,962.5
5,770.4









1-Day
3-Mth
6-Mth
Government Bonds
30-May-17
29-May-17
Chg (bps)
Avg
Avg
MGS 3/19 (3y)
3.32
3.29
2.70
3.37
3.41
MGS 03/22 (5y)
3.56
3.56
0.40
3.73
3.73
MGS 09/24 (7y)
3.83
3.78
4.70
3.92
3.92
MGS 11/27 (10y)
3.89
3.87
1.60
3.87
3.87
MGS 04/33 (15y)
4.28
4.28
0.00
4.46
4.58
MGS 03/46 (30y)
4.76
4.76
0.00
4.78
4.77
UST 2YR
1.28
1.29
-1.00
1.28
1.23
UST 5YR
1.75
1.79
-3.45
1.89
1.90
UST 10YR
2.21
2.25
-3.67
2.36
2.40
UST30YR
2.88
2.91
-3.48
2.99
3.02
UK 2YR
0.08
0.09
-1.10
0.11
0.12
UK 10YR
0.99
1.01
-1.80
1.12
1.23
GE 2YR
-0.71
-0.72
1.00
-0.75
-0.76
GE 10YR
0.29
0.30
-0.60
0.34
0.33
JGB 2YR
-0.16
-0.17
0.30
-0.21
-0.21
JGB 10YR
0.04
0.04
0.40
0.05
0.06
AU 2YR
1.57
1.58
-1.40
1.71
1.77
AU 10YR
2.39
2.42
-2.40
2.64
2.70
SGS 2YR
1.20
1.21
-0.70
1.23
1.24
SGS 10YR
2.09
2.12
-2.80
2.21
2.28
HK 2YR
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.90
0.96
HK 10YR
1.32
1.32
0.00
1.61
1.72
SK 2YR
1.56
1.57
-0.70
1.60
1.61
SK 10YR
2.23
2.25
-2.00
2.22
2.18
CH 10YR
3.67
3.67
0.00
3.45
3.35
TH 2YR
1.51
1.50
1.00
1.51
1.53
TH 10YR
2.63
2.63
0.90
2.71
2.71
ID 2YR
6.55
6.54
0.80
6.71
6.95
ID 10YR
6.96
6.95
0.80
7.15
7.43
PH 2YR
2.82
2.88
-5.75
3.06
3.05
PH 10YR
4.62
4.63
-0.60
4.62
4.53
IN 2YR
6.63
6.66
-2.60
6.68
6.52
IN 10YR
6.66
6.67
-0.70
6.82
6.67






Daily Headlines





Malaysia





Ringgit Rally Approaches Short-Term Speed Bump After Strong Run






Global





USTs Grind Higher as Positioning, Real Money Buying Underpins
Fed’s Brainard Says Soft Inflation May Warrant Rate Rethink
China Manufacturing Gauge Exceeds Estimates as Growth Holds Up
Pound Slumps After Poll Shows Conservatives May Miss a Majority
Bunds Dip as ECB Said to Consider Removing Easing Bias
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