“Let’s Get Ready to Rumble”: Trump vs. Clinton

Economic Research	11 October 2016
UNITED STATES
Economic Highlights
“Let’s Get Ready to Rumble”: Trump vs. Clinton The ongoing focus on the two Presidential candidates, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, has been increasingly intense. The limelight, we suspect, is partly because of the growing sense of Congressional dysfunction in recent years. Both the “Partisan Conflict Index” (constructed by Azzimonti, previously from the Philly Fed) and “Political Polarization” measure (calculated based on a scaling procedure from Poole and Rosenthal) have risen to record high levels (kindly refer to chart 1), implying continued gridlock in Congress. Hence, the Congressional elections (for the entire House and 34 Senate seats) in November are as crucial as the Presidential matchup. Economist:  Thomas Lam  | +65 6533 0389
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