Friday, June 17, 2016

Malaysia | Lingkaran Trans Kota Risk-off play



FEATURE
CALLS

Malaysia | Lingkaran Trans Kota
Risk-off play
Li Shin Chai








break





Malaysia | Plunging to 1,611 and 1,600
Lee Cheng Hooi








break


COMPANY RESEARCH





Company Update





Lingkaran Trans Kota (LTK MK)
by Li Shin Chai





Share Price:
MYR5.60
Target Price:
MYR6.10
Recommendation:
Buy




Risk-off play

Our forecast for a 50% YoY jump in LITRAK’s FY3/17 net profit due to the 48% scheduled toll rate hike since early this year will lead to higher FCFs which would support higher dividends. We raise our RNAV-based TP to MYR6.10 (+24%) and FY17-18 DPS forecasts to 35sen (+40%). The stock offers a decent total return of 9% from the current share price and 6.3% in potential dividend yield. Upgrade to BUY (from HOLD).


FYE Mar (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
380.7
416.2
555.5
557.5
EBITDA
321.6
353.3
480.0
474.4
Core net profit
137.5
171.8
260.5
267.6
Core EPS (sen)
26.7
33.0
49.8
51.2
Core EPS growth (%)
2.2
23.7
51.0
2.8
Net DPS (sen)
20.0
25.0
35.0
35.0
Core P/E (x)
21.0
17.0
11.2
10.9
P/BV (x)
5.4
4.8
4.3
3.8
Net dividend yield (%)
3.6
4.5
6.3
6.3
ROAE (%)
26.5
30.0
40.3
36.8
ROAA (%)
6.2
7.7
11.2
11.2
EV/EBITDA (x)
9.0
10.0
7.7
7.5
Net debt/equity (%)
177.5
143.6
113.6
83.8








MACRO RESEARCH






Technical Research
by Lee Cheng Hooi


Plunging to 1,611 and 1,600





The FBMKLCI plunged by 13.06 points to close at 1,614.90 yesterday, while the FBMEMAS and the FBM100 lost 89.82 points and 87.31 points respectively. In terms of market breadth, the gainer-to-loser ratio was 195-to-592 while 361 counters were unchanged. A total of 1.57b shares were traded valued at MYR1.54b.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Initial jobless claims increased more than expected last week, reflecting a jump in California that otherwise masked steady progress in the U.S. labor market. Initial applications for unemployment benefits climbed 13,000 to a one-month high of 277,000 in the week ended June 11, a report from the Labor Department showed. Claims in California increased by more than 19,000 on an unadjusted basis, probably due in part to schools closing for summer recess, a Labor Department spokesman said. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: The cost of living excluding food and fuel rose in May, propelled by rising rents. The so-called core measure of the consumer price index rose 0.2% last month, the same as in April, a Labor Department report showed. The broader measure of consumer prices also climbed 0.2%. Federal Reserve policy makers project strengthening demand combined with more stable energy costs and less appreciation in the dollar will allow more businesses to regain pricing power in coming months. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.K: Retail sales climbed more than economists forecast in May as warm weather spurred demand for summer clothing and department stores offered promotions. The volume of goods sold in stores and online increased 0.9% following an upwardly revised 1.9% gain in April, figures from the Office for National Statistics showed. Sales excluding auto fuel jumped 1%. (Source: Bloomberg)

Japan: The Bank of Japan keeps policy unchanged. With the yen soaring to its strongest in almost two years after the decision, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reiterated in a press conference that the central bank won’t hesitate to take action if needed. (Source: Bloomberg)

Indonesia: Bank Indonesia cut its benchmark interest rate for the fourth time this year, indicating its willingness to support economic growth in the face of mounting global risks. Governor Agus Martowardojo and his board cut the reference rate by 25 basis points to 6.5%.(Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Construction: Funds to finance Bandar Malaysia project set up. A consortium comprising four local banks and four international banks with a combined asset base exceeding USD13t have set up a new fund to finance the development of the Bandar Malaysia project. The fund will be utilised to finance development and construction works. The participating international banks include the Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China Construction Bank (CCB) and HSBC. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

AE Multi Holdings: To invest in partnership with JMT Kelantan. The company is venturing into renewable energy industry with a proposed investment of MYR140m in a tie-up with JMT Kelantan Baru Sdn Bhd. Under the proposed collaboration, JMT shall grant AE Multi the right to operate and maintain the two 10MW integrated mini-hydro power projects in Kelantan and AE Multi shall be entitled to 80% of the total profit from the sale of power to TNB. (Source: The Star)

Mah Sing: Eyes more JV deals. The company which has a cash pile of MYR1.1b is exploring more land acquisition and JV opportunities with both federal and state government in Greater KL, Klang Valley, Iskandar Malaysia, Penang and states with strong economic prospects. The company currently has a remaining land bank of 2,522 acres with a gross development value and unbilled sales of MYR32.2b. (Source: The Sun Daily)

KNM: To improve revenue base. The company is focusing on improving its income base to generate more recurrent revenue despite an uncertain global economic environment. The company which currently derives its revenue entirely from construction works, is now exploring on more recurring income projects such as biofuel and waste-to-energy. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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