Friday, January 30, 2015

AmWatch - Sarawak Cable : Prospects in the East and West BUY, 30 Jan 2015


STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
Sarawak Cable : Prospects in the East and West            BUY

We maintain BUY on Sarawak Cable Bhd (SCable) with an unchanged SOP-based fair value of RM1.70/share, which implies an FY15F PE of 8.5x.
In this report, we look at some of the upcoming transmission/distribution jobs in the Peninsula and East Malaysia that may benefit SCable. In West Malaysia, Tenaga Nasional Bhd’s (TNB) capex plans will provide continued job flow for SCable. TNB is expected to call for tenders in 1QFY15F with cable requirements for distribution lines expected to amount to RM1.2bil p.a. This does not include cable supply and turnkey jobs for transmission lines.
TNB will spend ~RM4bil p.a. in capex over the next three years to upgrade and expand the transmission & distribution networks. As an integrated supplier, SCable is in good position to supply cables and install power lines. Notably, the tender for TNB’s 500kV Ayer Tawar overhead line had just closed with the award expected within six months. We understand that there are seven packages for the 500kV line worth ~RM2bil, while another 500kV connecting line is being planned (see inside pages).
Apart from TNB jobs, SCable is also in a good standing to secure jobs for the upcoming LRT3 and RAPID projects. Over at the East, Sarawak Energy Bhd’s (SEB) continued capex plans will ensure job flow sustainability over the next decade. On a more immediate note, we understand that three players have been shortlisted for Balingian’s 275kV transmission line (worth ~RM200mil) with the winner expected to be announced this year.
SCable currently has an outstanding order book of ~RM2.2bil while its tender book is ~RM700mil. While we expect FY14F core earnings to be muted, we should see earnings recovery in FY15F given the stronger progress billings from its 500kV job as well contributions from the RM493mil Balingian and RM257mil Pengerang jobs.


Others :
Bursa Malaysia : Closing FY14 on a high   BUY
KKB Engineering : Still in running for O&G fabrication jobs             BUY


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DISCLAIMER:
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by AmResearch Sdn Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of AmResearch Sdn Bhd may from time to time have a position in or with the securities mentioned herein. Members of the AmInvestment Group and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice.


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