Published on 28 August 2013
RAM Ratings has assigned
AAA/Stable/P1 ratings to UMW Holdings Berhad’s (“UMW” or “the Group”) RM300
million Islamic Commercial Papers/Medium-Term Notes Programme (2010/2027).
Concurrently, RAM has reaffirmed the AAA/Stable rating of the Group’s RM2 billion
Islamic Medium-Term Notes Programme (2013/2028). UMW is involved in the
assembly and distribution of Toyota vehicles, trading of heavy and industrial
equipment (e.g. Komatsu, Toyota, Case and Bomag), provision of oil and gas
(“O&G”) services (with drilling and oil-field services as core offerings),
manufacture of automotive parts, and distribution of lubricants (Pennzoil and
Repsol).
The rating predominantly
reflects UMW’s strong market position and solid financial profile. Through
51%-owned UMW Toyota Motor Sdn Bhd, the Group distributes the Toyota marque
that leads the non-national segment of the Malaysian automotive industry.
Toyota accounted for 16.8% of the total industry volume as at end-2012; its
best-selling models are the Vios, Camry, Hilux and Hiace – the most popular in
their respective segments. The Group’s associate, Perusahaan Otomobil Kedua Sdn
Bhd (or Perodua), commands the lion’s share of A segment mini cars through the
Viva.
The UMW Group is also a market
leader in the domestic heavy- and industrial-equipment segments via best
sellers Komatsu and Toyota, respectively. In the O&G sector, UMW and its
local peers benefit from the policies of the Malaysian Government and oil giant
Petroliam Nasional Berhad (“PETRONAS”), which are designed to promote and
develop domestic O&G players. Given UMW’s ownership of jack-up drilling
rigs that are typically used at relatively shallow depths, the Group is poised
to benefit from the development of marginal oil fields.
UMW enjoys a robust financial
profile. Despite an increasing debt load from the expansion of its O&G
division, its adjusted gearing ratio has not exceeded 0.52 times in the last 5
years, supported by its strong retained earnings. Backed by healthy cash
reserves, the Group’s net gearing ratio has been negligible. UMW also boasts a
sturdy cashflow, generating more than RM1 billion of funds from operations
(“FFO”) annually; this translates into an average adjusted FFO debt cover of at
least 0.45 times over the same 5-year period – save for fiscal 2009, when its
profit performance waned amid the global financial crisis.
UMW’s financial metrics remained
healthy in 1Q FY Dec 2013. The Group’s gearing ratio came up to 0.48 times
(end-December 2012: 0.46 times) following a slight increase in borrowings, the
bulk of which was for the final payment of Naga 4 (one of its offshore rigs).
However, UMW’s net gearing ratio remained manageable at 0.13 times. The Group’s
heftier debt load resulted in a lower FFO debt cover of 0.45 times as at
end-March 2013 (end-December 2012: 0.58 times).
Going forward, UMW’s capital
expenditure (“capex”) is estimated to come up to about RM4 billion over the
next 3 years. Of this, RM2.6 billion has been earmarked for the expansion of
its O&G division. “While the capex of its other divisions is envisaged to
be covered by internal cash, that of the O&G segment will rely on a mix of
debt and equity. We understand that UMW is expected to maintain its gearing
ratio at around 0.5 times,” explains Kevin Lim, RAM Ratings’ Head of Consumer
& Industrial Ratings. To achieve this, the Group is likely to fulfil its
funding needs through equity. “Should this fall through, UMW may scale down its
budgeted O&G capex from 2014 onwards. In line with this, the Group’s
adjusted FFO debt cover is anticipated to exceed 0.4 times over the next 3
years,” adds Kevin.
In the meantime, the rating is
moderated by fierce competition within the automotive industry, UMW’s
vulnerability to economic cycles and changes in regulatory policies, as well as
franchise-renewal and foreign-exchange risks, particularly when it comes to the
US dollar. The Group is also exposed to contract-renewal risk as it has to
constantly bid for new O&G jobs and actively pursue the renewal of expiring
contracts to sustain its top line. We note that UMW may not necessarily have
secured service contracts for its newly acquired/constructed rigs by the time
they are completed.
Media contact
Woon Tien Ern
(603) 7628 1040
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